Mexico 1–0 South Korea
Mexico edged a balanced game 1–0 (0.48–0.69 xG).
| Score | 1–0 |
|---|---|
| Expected goals (xG) | Mexico 0.48 · South Korea 0.69 |
| Expected points (xPts) | Mexico 1.09 · South Korea 1.49 |
| Group | Group A |
Who deserved to win Mexico vs South Korea by xG?
By expected goals, Mexico vs South Korea was a near-even contest — Mexico 0.48 xG, South Korea 0.69. Mexico took the points 1–0, but the underlying chances were close to level. In expected points, Mexico earned 1.09 and South Korea 1.49 from this game; the actual return was 3 and 0 (Δ +1.91 for Mexico, -1.49 for South Korea).
Was Mexico lucky or unlucky?
Mexico were clinical in front of goal — 1 goal from 0.48 xG, and well protected at the back, conceding 0 from 0.69 xGA faced. On balance a fortunate return — more than the chances merited (Δ +1.91).
Was South Korea lucky or unlucky?
South Korea were wasteful in front of goal — just 0 from 0.69 xG, but punished at the back, shipping 1 from only 0.48 xGA faced. On balance they deserved more (Δ -1.49).
What Mexico 1–0 South Korea means for Group A
Mexico sit 1st in Group A on 6 points (3.56 xPts, Δ +2.44); South Korea sit 2nd on 3 points (3.78 xPts, Δ -0.78). See the full Group A table →