Mexico vs England
Match 92: total tournament xG, group-stage baseline and Round of 32 receipts from the current knockout path.
Latest available post-match xG · updated 30 July 2026, 12:26 ET · 104 of 104 matches with xG. Not live.
Every finished match with expected goals and a one-line verdict on how the score matched the chances — lucky wins, harsh swings, and knockout results backed by chance quality.
| Match | Score | xG | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spain vs Argentina | 1–0 | 2.29–0.22 | Spain advanced with an xG edge (2.29–0.22 xG), winning 1–0. |
Match 92: total tournament xG, group-stage baseline and Round of 32 receipts from the current knockout path.
4 confirmed quarter-final guides with total tournament xG and prior knockout receipts.
8 confirmed Round of 16 guides with total tournament xG, group-stage baseline and prior knockout receipts.
16 confirmed Round of 32 matchups with group-stage xGF, xGA, xPts and luck context.
Full Round of 32 bracket with every confirmed matchup and xG guide.
Official group tables beside expected points, luck, xGF and xGA.
The latest matchday results, biggest swings, and match-by-match xG context.
Turkiye 0 points from 2.57 xPts after 2.17–0.32 xG.
Spain advanced with an xG edge (2.29–0.22 xG), winning 1–0.
Norway beat Brazil 2-1; Brazil had the stronger chance profile, but Norway advanced from a lower-xG night.
USA beat Bosnia and Herzegovina 2–0 with a 0.88-0.25 xG edge; Balogun scored, saw red, then had the automatic ban suspended before Belgium.
Belgium won 3–2; Senegal created 3.58 xG to Belgium's 1.74. Late-game heroics for Belgium, brutal xG exit for Senegal.
Go deeper: knockout bracket · knockout xG verdicts · biggest xG robberies · stat leaders · published FIFA rankings · by confederation · daily recaps · unluckiest teams.
Spain advanced with an xG edge (2.29–0.22 xG), winning 1–0.
Fair result: Yes. Spain won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
England advanced from a balanced knockout game 4–6 (2.88–2.88 xG).
Fair result: Mostly. The winner was not clearly ahead on xG, but the chance gap was small enough that this was a close result rather than a robbery.
Argentina advanced with an xG edge (1.59–0.53 xG), winning 1–2.
Fair result: Yes. Argentina won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Spain advanced with an xG edge (1.63–0.31 xG), winning 0–2.
Fair result: Yes. Spain won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Argentina advanced with an xG edge (1.94–0.47 xG), winning 3–1.
Fair result: Yes. Argentina won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
England advanced from a balanced knockout game 1–2 (0.68–1.04 xG).
Fair result: Yes. England won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Spain advanced with an xG edge (1.96–0.34 xG), winning 2–1.
Fair result: Yes. Spain won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
France advanced with an xG edge (3.69–0.14 xG), winning 2–0.
Fair result: Yes. France won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Switzerland advanced on penalties after a balanced knockout game 0–0 (4–3 pens) (0.39–1.09 xG).
Fair result: No by chance quality. Switzerland advanced on penalties, but Colombia had the stronger xG profile.
Argentina advanced with an xG edge (2.84–0.89 xG), winning 3–2.
Fair result: Yes. Argentina won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Belgium advanced with an xG edge (2.01–0.63 xG), winning 1–4.
Fair result: Yes. Belgium won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Spain advanced with an xG edge (1.69–0.63 xG), winning 0–1.
Fair result: Yes. Spain won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
England advanced from a balanced knockout game 2–3 (1.88–1.61 xG).
Fair result: Mostly. The winner was not clearly ahead on xG, but the chance gap was small enough that this was a close result rather than a robbery.
Brazil had the stronger chance profile (2.61–1.05 xG) but were knocked out 1–2; Norway advanced against the xG run.
Fair result: No. Norway won the scoreboard, but Brazil had the stronger xG profile.
Was it fair by xG?Round of 16 verdictBREAKING: Brazil eliminated despite 2.61-1.05 xG edge5 July recap
France advanced with an xG edge (1.45–0.13 xG), winning 0–1.
Fair result: Yes. France won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Morocco advanced from a balanced knockout game 0–3 (0.84–0.82 xG).
Fair result: Mostly. The winner was not clearly ahead on xG, but the chance gap was small enough that this was a close result rather than a robbery.
Colombia advanced with an xG edge (2.04–0.27 xG), winning 1–0.
Fair result: Yes. Colombia won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Argentina advanced with an xG edge (2.26–0.47 xG), winning 3–2.
Fair result: Yes. Argentina won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Egypt advanced on penalties after a balanced knockout game 1–1 (2–4 pens) (0.84–1.32 xG).
Fair result: Yes. Egypt won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Switzerland advanced with an xG edge (2.45–0.74 xG), winning 2–0.
Fair result: Yes. Switzerland won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Portugal advanced with an xG edge (2.20–1.34 xG), winning 2–1.
Fair result: Yes. Portugal won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Spain advanced with an xG edge (2.80–0.32 xG), winning 3–0.
Fair result: Yes. Spain won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
USA advanced from a balanced knockout game 2–0 (0.88–0.25 xG).
Fair result: Yes. USA won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Was it fair by xG?Round of 32 verdictUPDATE: USA advanced, and FIFA cleared Balogun for Belgium1 July recap
Senegal had the stronger chance profile (3.58–1.74 xG) but were knocked out 3–2; Belgium advanced against the xG run.
Fair result: No. Belgium won the scoreboard, but Senegal had the stronger xG profile.
Was it fair by xG?Round of 32 verdictBREAKING: Belgium advanced despite Senegal's 3.58-1.74 xG edge1 July recap
England advanced with an xG edge (2.16–0.77 xG), winning 2–1.
Fair result: Yes. England won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Mexico advanced from a balanced knockout game 2–0 (1.05–0.75 xG).
Fair result: Yes. Mexico won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Was it fair by xG?Round of 32 verdictUPDATE: Mexico finished 10-3 on goals from 6.66-3.87 xG30 June recap
France advanced with an xG edge (3.24–0.70 xG), winning 3–0.
Fair result: Yes. France won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Norway advanced from a balanced knockout game 1–2 (1.49–1.90 xG).
Fair result: Yes. Norway won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Morocco created far more (1.38–0.24 xG), and Morocco advanced on penalties after 1–1 (2–3 pens).
Fair result: Yes. Morocco won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Was it fair by xG?Round of 32 verdictShootout story Morocco advanced on penalties with a 1.38-0.24 xG edge29 June recap
Germany had the stronger chance profile (1.57–0.35 xG) but were knocked out 1–1 (3–4 pens); Paraguay advanced against the xG run.
Fair result: No by chance quality. Paraguay advanced on penalties, but Germany had the stronger xG profile.
Was it fair by xG?Round of 32 verdictBREAKING: Germany eliminated despite 1.57-0.35 xG edge29 June recap
Brazil advanced with an xG edge (2.07–0.33 xG), winning 2–1.
Fair result: Yes. Brazil won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Canada advanced with an xG edge (1.38–0.14 xG), winning 0–1.
Fair result: Yes. Canada won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Argentina backed up their xG edge (2.13–0.76 xG), winning 1–3.
Fair result: Yes. Argentina won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
An even contest (1.67–1.49 xG) finished 3–3.
Fair result: Yes. The scoreline and xG both point to an even match.
DR Congo backed up their xG edge (2.18–0.20 xG), winning 3–1.
Fair result: Yes. DR Congo won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
An even contest (1.70–0.93 xG) finished 0–0.
Fair result: Not fully. Colombia had the better xG profile, but only took one point.
England backed up their xG edge (1.56–0.66 xG), winning 0–2.
Fair result: Yes. England won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Croatia edged a balanced game 2–1 (0.42–0.64 xG).
Fair result: Mostly. The winner was not clearly ahead on xG, but the chance gap was small enough that this was a close result rather than a robbery.
Was it fair by xG?Group L story Croatia finished second despite a negative xG profile27 June recap
Belgium backed up their xG edge (3.64–0.24 xG), winning 1–5.
Fair result: Yes. Belgium won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Iran created far more (1.97–0.84 xG) but were held to a 1–1 draw.
Fair result: Not fully. Iran had the better xG profile, but only took one point.
Spain edged a balanced game 0–1 (0.20–0.86 xG).
Fair result: Yes. Spain won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Cape Verde created far more (1.39–0.39 xG) but were held to a 0–0 draw.
Fair result: Not fully. Cape Verde had the better xG profile, but only took one point.
Was it fair by xG?Group H story FIFA #20 Uruguay missed the Round of 3226 June recap
Senegal backed up their xG edge (3.01–0.14 xG), winning 5–0.
Fair result: Yes. Senegal won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
France edged a balanced game 1–4 (1.70–1.50 xG).
Fair result: Mostly. The winner was not clearly ahead on xG, but the chance gap was small enough that this was a close result rather than a robbery.
Turkiye backed up their xG edge (3.05–2.13 xG), winning 3–2.
Fair result: Yes. Turkiye won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
An even contest (0.24–0.55 xG) finished 0–0.
Fair result: Not fully. Australia had the better xG profile, but only took one point.
Netherlands backed up their xG edge (1.85–0.62 xG), winning 1–3.
Fair result: Yes. Netherlands won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
An even contest (1.21–0.64 xG) finished 1–1.
Fair result: Not fully. Japan had the better xG profile, but only took one point.
Ecuador edged a balanced game 2–1 (1.27–0.65 xG).
Fair result: Yes. Ecuador won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Was it fair by xG?Group E story Ecuador finished third despite 5.51 xPts25 June recap
Ivory Coast backed up their xG edge (1.31–0.50 xG), winning 0–2.
Fair result: Yes. Ivory Coast won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
South Africa edged a balanced game 1–0 (1.16–0.90 xG).
Fair result: Mostly. The winner was not clearly ahead on xG, but the chance gap was small enough that this was a close result rather than a robbery.
Was it fair by xG?Group A story South Korea finished third despite 5.09 xPts24 June recap
Mexico backed up their xG edge (1.74–0.53 xG), winning 0–3.
Fair result: Yes. Mexico won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Brazil backed up their xG edge (4.33–1.04 xG), winning 0–3.
Fair result: Yes. Brazil won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Morocco backed up their xG edge (3.76–1.22 xG), winning 4–2.
Fair result: Yes. Morocco won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Switzerland edged a balanced game 2–1 (1.11–1.66 xG).
Fair result: No. Switzerland won the scoreboard, but Canada had the stronger xG profile.
Bosnia and Herzegovina edged a balanced game 3–1 (0.68–0.77 xG).
Fair result: Mostly. The winner was not clearly ahead on xG, but the chance gap was small enough that this was a close result rather than a robbery.
Colombia edged a balanced game 1–0 (0.98–0.37 xG).
Fair result: Yes. Colombia won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Croatia backed up their xG edge (1.65–0.55 xG), winning 0–1.
Fair result: Yes. Croatia won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
England created far more (1.36–0.17 xG) but were held to a 0–0 draw.
Fair result: Not fully. England had the better xG profile, but only took one point.
Was it fair by xG?Story England let Ghana off the hook in a 0–0 draw the xG tilted hard23 June recap
Portugal backed up their xG edge (2.61–0.24 xG), winning 5–0.
Fair result: Yes. Portugal won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Algeria backed up their xG edge (1.89–0.63 xG), winning 1–2.
Fair result: Yes. Algeria won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Norway edged a balanced game 3–2 (2.20–1.72 xG).
Fair result: Yes. Norway won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
France backed up their xG edge (2.67–0.63 xG), winning 3–0.
Fair result: Yes. France won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Argentina backed up their xG edge (2.36–0.53 xG), winning 2–0.
Fair result: Yes. Argentina won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Was it fair by xG?Story Argentina 2–0 Austria: a measured win the chances back up22 June recap
Egypt edged a balanced game 1–3 (1.24–1.87 xG).
Fair result: Yes. Egypt won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Uruguay created far more (2.32–0.88 xG) but were held to a 2–2 draw.
Fair result: Not fully. Uruguay had the better xG profile, but only took one point.
Belgium created far more (1.79–0.62 xG) but were held to a 0–0 draw.
Fair result: Not fully. Belgium had the better xG profile, but only took one point.
Spain backed up their xG edge (2.30–0.14 xG), winning 4–0.
Fair result: Yes. Spain won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Japan backed up their xG edge (2.13–0.05 xG), winning 0–4.
Fair result: Yes. Japan won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Ecuador created far more (2.84–0.50 xG) but were held to a 0–0 draw.
Fair result: Not fully. Ecuador had the better xG profile, but only took one point.
Was it fair by xG?Story Ecuador out-chanced Curacao by a distance — and still drew 0–020 June recap
Germany edged a balanced game 2–1 (1.89–1.22 xG).
Fair result: Yes. Germany won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Netherlands backed up their xG edge (2.61–1.01 xG), winning 5–1.
Fair result: Yes. Netherlands won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Turkiye dominated the chances (2.17–0.32 xG) but lost 0–1 — a full-point xPts robbery.
Fair result: No. Paraguay won the scoreboard, but Turkiye had the stronger xG profile.
Was it fair by xG?Group D story Turkiye finished fourth despite 5.94 xPts19 June recap
Brazil backed up their xG edge (1.75–0.23 xG), winning 3–0.
Fair result: Yes. Brazil won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Morocco edged a balanced game 0–1 (0.51–0.99 xG).
Fair result: Yes. Morocco won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
USA edged a balanced game 2–0 (1.08–0.35 xG).
Fair result: Yes. USA won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Mexico edged a balanced game 1–0 (0.53–0.91 xG).
Fair result: No. Mexico won the scoreboard, but South Korea had the stronger xG profile.
Canada backed up their xG edge (4.60–0.22 xG), winning 6–0.
Fair result: Yes. Canada won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Was it fair by xG?Story Canada 6–0 Qatar: a rout the expected goals fully back up18 June recap
Switzerland backed up their xG edge (2.06–0.23 xG), winning 4–1.
Fair result: Yes. Switzerland won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
An even contest (1.02–1.38 xG) finished 1–1.
Fair result: Not fully. South Africa had the better xG profile, but only took one point.
Colombia edged a balanced game 1–3 (1.16–1.61 xG).
Fair result: Yes. Colombia won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Ghana edged a balanced game 1–0 (1.25–0.73 xG).
Fair result: Yes. Ghana won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
England backed up their xG edge (3.20–0.70 xG), winning 4–2.
Fair result: Yes. England won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
An even contest (0.65–0.87 xG) finished 1–1.
Fair result: Yes. The scoreline and xG both point to an even match.
Austria backed up their xG edge (1.69–0.46 xG), winning 3–1.
Fair result: Yes. Austria won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Argentina backed up their xG edge (1.26–0.32 xG), winning 3–0.
Fair result: Yes. Argentina won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Norway backed up their xG edge (2.52–0.80 xG), winning 1–4.
Fair result: Yes. Norway won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
France backed up their xG edge (1.79–0.53 xG), winning 3–1.
Fair result: Yes. France won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
An even contest (1.50–1.24 xG) finished 2–2.
Fair result: Yes. The scoreline and xG both point to an even match.
Uruguay created far more (1.72–0.66 xG) but were held to a 1–1 draw.
Fair result: Not fully. Uruguay had the better xG profile, but only took one point.
An even contest (1.35–1.08 xG) finished 1–1.
Fair result: Yes. The scoreline and xG both point to an even match.
Spain created far more (2.10–0.20 xG) but were held to a 0–0 draw.
Fair result: Not fully. Spain had the better xG profile, but only took one point.
Sweden backed up their xG edge (1.33–0.28 xG), winning 5–1.
Fair result: Yes. Sweden won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Ivory Coast edged a balanced game 1–0 (1.52–1.01 xG).
Fair result: Yes. Ivory Coast won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
An even contest (0.78–0.59 xG) finished 2–2.
Fair result: Yes. The scoreline and xG both point to an even match.
Germany backed up their xG edge (4.22–0.41 xG), winning 7–1.
Fair result: Yes. Germany won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Australia edged a balanced game 2–0 (1.18–1.36 xG).
Fair result: Mostly. The winner was not clearly ahead on xG, but the chance gap was small enough that this was a close result rather than a robbery.
Scotland edged a balanced game 0–1 (1.05–1.05 xG).
Fair result: Mostly. The winner was not clearly ahead on xG, but the chance gap was small enough that this was a close result rather than a robbery.
An even contest (1.26–1.37 xG) finished 1–1.
Fair result: Yes. The scoreline and xG both point to an even match.
Switzerland created far more (3.20–0.60 xG) but were held to a 1–1 draw.
Fair result: Not fully. Switzerland had the better xG profile, but only took one point.
USA backed up their xG edge (1.42–0.54 xG), winning 4–1.
Fair result: Yes. USA won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
An even contest (1.23–0.96 xG) finished 1–1.
Fair result: Yes. The scoreline and xG both point to an even match.
South Korea backed up their xG edge (2.30–0.83 xG), winning 2–1.
Fair result: Yes. South Korea won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Mexico backed up their xG edge (1.46–0.07 xG), winning 2–0.
Fair result: Yes. Mexico won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.