xG 0.60 – 1.77 · xPts 0.58 – 2.19 · Knockout stage
Spain advanced with an xG edge (1.77–0.60 xG), winning 0–1.
Latest available post-match xG · updated 6 July 2026, 17:12 ET · 1 match, 1 goals, 2.37 total xG. Not live.
The only World Cup 2026 game on 6 July was Portugal 0–1 Spain. Spain advanced with an xG edge (1.77–0.60 xG), winning 0–1.
Spain advanced with an xG edge (1.77–0.60 xG), winning 0–1.
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Luck is measured per match: actual points minus expected points (xPts), an independent Poisson model on public post-match xG. Figures may differ from other public xG sources. Directional, not official — especially early in the tournament.