xG 0.63 – 1.69 · xPts 0.64 – 2.13 · Knockout stage
Spain advanced with an xG edge (1.69–0.63 xG), winning 0–1.
World Cup 2026 xG recap: 6 July
Latest available post-match xG · updated 20 August 2026, 21:07 ET · 2 matches, 6 goals, 4.96 total xG. Not live.
The 6 July results ran true to the chances — few surprises, little theft. Every match below with its xG.
Every 6 July match
xG 0.63 – 2.01 · xPts 0.51 – 2.29 · Knockout stage
Belgium advanced with an xG edge (2.01–0.63 xG), winning 1–4.
More: all daily recaps · all results · standings & expected points · unluckiest teams · the xG visualizer
Luck is measured per match: actual points minus expected points (xPts), an independent Poisson model on public post-match xG. Figures may differ from other public xG sources. Directional, not official — especially early in the tournament.