xG 2.90 – 0.89 · xPts 2.48 – 0.39 · Knockout stage
Argentina advanced with an xG edge (2.90–0.89 xG), winning 3–2.
Latest available post-match xG · updated 7 July 2026, 16:30 ET · 1 match, 5 goals, 3.79 total xG. Not live.
The only World Cup 2026 game on 7 July was Argentina 3–2 Egypt. Argentina advanced with an xG edge (2.90–0.89 xG), winning 3–2.
Argentina advanced with an xG edge (2.90–0.89 xG), winning 3–2.
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Luck is measured per match: actual points minus expected points (xPts), an independent Poisson model on public post-match xG. Figures may differ from other public xG sources. Directional, not official — especially early in the tournament.