How lucky or unlucky were Colombia in the World Cup 2026 group stage?

Group-stage totals: 7 points from 5.45 xPts (points luck +1.55) and 1 goal conceded from 2.46 xGA (defensive luck +1.46). The group-stage match-by-match xG table below shows how Colombia's group-stage luck built game by game.

Where did Colombia finish in Group K?

Colombia finished first in Group K with 7 points from 5.45 group-stage xPts (Δ +1.55).

What are Colombia's group, knockout and total xG numbers?

Colombia have 4.29 group-stage xGF and 2.46 group-stage xGA, plus 3.13 knockout xGF and 0.66 knockout xGA. Total: 7.42 xGF, 3.12 xGA.

What was Colombia's best xG match?

Colombia's highest-xGF match was 1–0 vs Ghana: 2.04 xG for and 0.27 xG against.

Colombia at the 2026 World Cup

Eliminated

Colombia are eliminated from the World Cup 2026 after Match 96 against Switzerland. Switzerland 0–0 (4–3 pens) Colombia; Switzerland 0.39–1.09 Colombia xG.

Colombia have 7 points from 5.45 xPts, with group-stage results running ahead of the chances.

Next for Colombia

Knockout result

Colombia vs Switzerland

Match 96 (Round of 16) result page with score, match xG and advancement context.

Latest xG match

0–0 vs Switzerland

Knockout stage · xG 1.09-0.39 · eliminated on penalties 3-4

Group table

Group K finish

7 points from 5.45 group-stage xPts. Official group rank decides qualification.

Results

All scores with xG

Every finished match, scoreline, match xG and one-line verdict.

Quick answers

EliminatedAre Colombia eliminated from the World Cup 2026?: Colombia are eliminated from the World Cup 2026 after Match 96 against Switzerland. Switzerland 0–0 (4–3 pens) Colombia; Switzerland 0.39–1.09 Colombia xG.
Riding their luckHow lucky or unlucky were Colombia in the World Cup 2026 group stage?: Group-stage totals: 7 points from 5.45 xPts (points luck +1.55) and 1 goal conceded from 2.46 xGA (defensive luck +1.46). The group-stage match-by-match xG table below shows how Colombia's group-stage luck built game by game.
Group finishWhere did Colombia finish in Group K?: Colombia finished first in Group K with 7 points from 5.45 group-stage xPts (Δ +1.55).
xG by stageWhat are Colombia's group, knockout and total xG numbers?: Colombia have 4.29 group-stage xGF and 2.46 group-stage xGA, plus 3.13 knockout xGF and 0.66 knockout xGA. Total: 7.42 xGF, 3.12 xGA.
Best xG matchWhat was Colombia's best xG match?: Colombia's highest-xGF match was 1–0 vs Ghana: 2.04 xG for and 0.27 xG against.

xG by stage

Stage	Matches	Goals	xGF / xGA	xGD	xPts	Scope
Group stage	3	4–1	4.29 / 2.46	+1.83	5.45	Official group-table scope
Knockout	2	1–0	3.13 / 0.66	+2.47	4.49	Match xPts is chance context only
Total	5	5–1	7.42 / 3.12	+4.30	9.94	All completed xG-backed matches

Knockout status

EliminatedAre Colombia eliminated from the World Cup 2026?: Colombia are eliminated from the World Cup 2026 after Match 96 against Switzerland. Switzerland 0–0 (4–3 pens) Colombia; Switzerland 0.39–1.09 Colombia xG. Colombia vs Switzerland xG guide/result.

Knockout receipts

1-0 vs GhanaKnockout stage · xG 2.04-0.27 · match xPts 2.56 · advanced
0-0 vs SwitzerlandKnockout stage · xG 1.09-0.39 · match xPts 1.93 · eliminated on penalties 3-4

Group-stage match receipts

3-1 vs UzbekistanxG 1.61-1.16 · xPts 1.68 · Δ +1.32
1-0 vs DR CongoxG 0.98-0.37 · xPts 1.86 · Δ +1.14
0-0 vs PortugalxG 1.70-0.93 · xPts 1.91 · Δ -0.91

Schedule context

Colombia are +1.83 xGD through 3 xG matches against opponents averaging 26.3/48 in the World Cup field and FIFA #36.0 globally; led xG against a mid-ranked opponent field.

Group	Group K · 1st in group
Knockout status	Eliminated Out after Match 96 vs Switzerland
Published FIFA rank	FIFA #11 · 11th of 48 World Cup teams
xG vs schedule	Avg opponent field rank 26.3 / 48 · Avg opponent FIFA #36.0 · led xG against a mid-ranked opponent field
Group-stage played / record	3 · 2W 1D 0L
Group-stage points	7
Group-stage expected points (xPts)	5.45
Group-stage Δ (Points − xPts)	+1.55
Group-stage goals for / against	4 / 1
Group-stage xG for / against	4.29 / 2.46
Group-stage finishing (Goals − xG)	-0.29
Group-stage defensive luck (xGA − GA)	+1.46

Where Colombia sit on the total xG luck quadrant

Where Colombia sit across all xG-backed matches so far — finishing luck (goals − xG) across, defensive luck (xGA − goals conceded) up; the crosshair is zero, exactly as the chances suggest. On the balance of play they are wasteful in attack but solid at the back.

See Colombia on the full interactive luck quadrant →

Best and worst group-stage xG matches

Best xG performance

Colombia 0–0 Portugal

Colombia had their strongest chance profile against Portugal, winning the xG battle 1.70–0.93.

Most unlucky result

Colombia vs Portugal

Colombia took 1 point from 1.91 xPts (Δ -0.91).

Most fortunate result

Colombia vs Uzbekistan

Colombia took 3 points from 1.68 xPts (Δ +1.32).

Group-stage match by match

Group-stage match-by-match luck — points taken minus expected points (xPts) each game. Green = took more than the chances deserved, red = deserved more.

Date	Match	Score	Group xG	xPts	Δ
17 June	@ Uzbekistan	3–1	1.61–1.16	1.68	+1.32
23 June	v DR Congo	1–0	0.98–0.37	1.86	+1.14
27 June	v Portugal	0–0	1.70–0.93	1.91	-0.91

Δ here is per group-stage match: the points Colombia took that game minus their expected points (xPts) for it. Negative = robbed, positive = fortunate.

Knockout match by match

Date	Match	Score	Knockout xG	Match xPts	Verdict
3 July	v Ghana	1–0	2.04–0.27	2.56	Colombia advanced with an xG edge (2.04–0.27 xG), winning 1–0.
7 July	@ Switzerland	0–0	1.09–0.39	1.93	Switzerland advanced on penalties after a balanced knockout game 0–0 (4–3 pens) (0.39–1.09 xG).

Knockout rows are not added to group points or group-stage xPts. The score decides advancement; match xPts is chance-profile context.

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