xG 0.66 – 1.56 · xPts 0.72 – 2.03 · Group L
England backed up their xG edge (1.56–0.66 xG), winning 0–2.
World Cup 2026 xG recap: 27 June
Latest available post-match xG · updated 2 July 2026, 02:56 ET · 6 matches, 19 goals, 14.34 total xG. Not live.
6 matches on 27 June, read through expected goals — the day's robberies, smash-and-grabs and standout performances below.
xG stories of the day
Most dominant display
DR Congo controlled the chances against Uzbekistan, 2.18–0.20 xG — a 3–1 the balance of play backs up. xG breakdown →
Best defensive resilience
Portugal held Colombia to 0 goals from 1.70 xG faced — a backs-to-the-wall job. xG breakdown →
Every 27 June match
xG 0.42 – 0.64 · xPts 1.06 – 1.49 · Group L
Croatia edged a balanced game 2–1 (0.42–0.64 xG).
xG 2.18 – 0.20 · xPts 2.65 – 0.21 · Group K
DR Congo backed up their xG edge (2.18–0.20 xG), winning 3–1.
xG 1.70 – 0.93 · xPts 1.91 – 0.85 · Group K
An even contest (1.70–0.93 xG) finished 0–0.
xG 0.76 – 2.13 · xPts 0.55 – 2.26 · Group J
Argentina backed up their xG edge (2.13–0.76 xG), winning 1–3.
xG 1.67 – 1.49 · xPts 1.50 – 1.27 · Group J
An even contest (1.67–1.49 xG) finished 3–3.
More: all daily recaps · all results · standings & expected points · unluckiest teams · the xG visualizer
Luck is measured per match: actual points minus expected points (xPts), an independent Poisson model on public post-match xG. Figures may differ from other public xG sources. Directional, not official — especially early in the tournament.