How lucky or unlucky were Algeria in the World Cup 2026 group stage?

Group-stage totals: 4 points from 4.31 xPts (points luck -0.31) and 7 goals conceded from 3.38 xGA (defensive luck -3.62). The group-stage match-by-match xG table below shows how Algeria's group-stage luck built game by game.

Where did Algeria finish in Group J?

Algeria finished third in Group J with 4 points from 4.31 group-stage xPts (Δ -0.31).

What are Algeria's group, knockout and total xG numbers?

Algeria have 3.88 group-stage xGF and 3.38 group-stage xGA, plus 0.74 knockout xGF and 2.45 knockout xGA. Total: 4.62 xGF, 5.83 xGA.

What was Algeria's best xG match?

Algeria's highest-xGF match was 2–1 vs Jordan: 1.89 xG for and 0.63 xG against.

Algeria at the 2026 World Cup

Eliminated

Algeria are eliminated from the World Cup 2026 after Match 85 against Switzerland. Switzerland 2–0 Algeria; Switzerland 2.45–0.74 Algeria xG.

Algeria had 5 goals from 3.88 xG (finishing luck +1.12) and 4 points from 4.31 xPts (points luck -0.31) in the World Cup 2026 group stage.

Next for Algeria

Knockout result

Algeria vs Switzerland

Match 85 (Round of 32) result page with score, match xG and advancement context.

Latest xG match

0–2 vs Switzerland

Knockout stage · xG 0.74-2.45 · eliminated

Group table

Group J finish

4 points from 4.31 group-stage xPts. Official group rank decides qualification.

Results

All scores with xG

Every finished match, scoreline, match xG and one-line verdict.

Quick answers

EliminatedAre Algeria eliminated from the World Cup 2026?: Algeria are eliminated from the World Cup 2026 after Match 85 against Switzerland. Switzerland 2–0 Algeria; Switzerland 2.45–0.74 Algeria xG.
Group-stage verdictHow lucky or unlucky were Algeria in the World Cup 2026 group stage?: Group-stage totals: 4 points from 4.31 xPts (points luck -0.31) and 7 goals conceded from 3.38 xGA (defensive luck -3.62). The group-stage match-by-match xG table below shows how Algeria's group-stage luck built game by game.
Group finishWhere did Algeria finish in Group J?: Algeria finished third in Group J with 4 points from 4.31 group-stage xPts (Δ -0.31).
xG by stageWhat are Algeria's group, knockout and total xG numbers?: Algeria have 3.88 group-stage xGF and 3.38 group-stage xGA, plus 0.74 knockout xGF and 2.45 knockout xGA. Total: 4.62 xGF, 5.83 xGA.
Best xG matchWhat was Algeria's best xG match?: Algeria's highest-xGF match was 2–1 vs Jordan: 1.89 xG for and 0.63 xG against.

xG by stage

Stage	Matches	Goals	xGF / xGA	xGD	xPts	Scope
Group stage	3	5–7	3.88 / 3.38	+0.50	4.31	Official group-table scope
Knockout	1	0–2	0.74 / 2.45	-1.71	0.44	Match xPts is chance context only
Total	4	5–9	4.62 / 5.83	-1.21	4.75	All completed xG-backed matches

Knockout status

EliminatedAre Algeria eliminated from the World Cup 2026?: Algeria are eliminated from the World Cup 2026 after Match 85 against Switzerland. Switzerland 2–0 Algeria; Switzerland 2.45–0.74 Algeria xG. Algeria vs Switzerland xG guide/result.

Knockout receipts

0-2 vs SwitzerlandKnockout stage · xG 0.74-2.45 · match xPts 0.44 · eliminated

Group-stage match receipts

0-3 vs ArgentinaxG 0.32-1.26 · xPts 0.58 · Δ -0.58
2-1 vs JordanxG 1.89-0.63 · xPts 2.23 · Δ +0.77
3-3 vs AustriaxG 1.67-1.49 · xPts 1.50 · Δ -0.50

Schedule context

Algeria are +0.50 xGD through 3 xG matches against opponents averaging 22.7/48 in the World Cup field and FIFA #32.7 globally; level on xG against a mid-ranked opponent field.

Group	Group J · 3rd in group
Knockout status	Eliminated Out after Match 85 vs Switzerland
Published FIFA rank	FIFA #29 · 26th of 48 World Cup teams
xG vs schedule	Avg opponent field rank 22.7 / 48 · Avg opponent FIFA #32.7 · level on xG against a mid-ranked opponent field
Group-stage played / record	3 · 1W 1D 1L
Group-stage points	4
Group-stage expected points (xPts)	4.31
Group-stage Δ (Points − xPts)	-0.31
Group-stage goals for / against	5 / 7
Group-stage xG for / against	3.88 / 3.38
Group-stage finishing (Goals − xG)	+1.12
Group-stage defensive luck (xGA − GA)	-3.62

Where Algeria sit on the total xG luck quadrant

Where Algeria sit across all xG-backed matches so far — finishing luck (goals − xG) across, defensive luck (xGA − goals conceded) up; the crosshair is zero, exactly as the chances suggest. On the balance of play they are clinical but leaky.

See Algeria on the full interactive luck quadrant →

Best and worst group-stage xG matches

Best xG performance

Algeria 2–1 Jordan

Algeria had their strongest chance profile against Jordan, winning the xG battle 1.89–0.63.

Most unlucky result

Algeria vs Argentina

Algeria took 0 points from 0.58 xPts (Δ -0.58).

Most fortunate result

Algeria vs Jordan

Algeria took 3 points from 2.23 xPts (Δ +0.77).

Group-stage match by match

Group-stage match-by-match luck — points taken minus expected points (xPts) each game. Green = took more than the chances deserved, red = deserved more.

Date	Match	Score	Group xG	xPts	Δ
16 June	@ Argentina	0–3	0.32–1.26	0.58	-0.58
22 June	@ Jordan	2–1	1.89–0.63	2.23	+0.77
27 June	v Austria	3–3	1.67–1.49	1.50	-0.50

Δ here is per group-stage match: the points Algeria took that game minus their expected points (xPts) for it. Negative = robbed, positive = fortunate.

Knockout match by match

Date	Match	Score	Knockout xG	Match xPts	Verdict
2 July	@ Switzerland	0–2	0.74–2.45	0.44	Switzerland advanced with an xG edge (2.45–0.74 xG), winning 2–0.

Knockout rows are not added to group points or group-stage xPts. The score decides advancement; match xPts is chance-profile context.

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