xG 1.50 – 1.24 · xPts 1.55 – 1.20 · Group G
An even contest (1.50–1.24 xG) finished 2–2.
World Cup 2026 xG recap: 16 June
Latest available post-match xG · updated 17 June 2026, 07:22 UTC · 3 matches, 13 goals, 8.38 total xG. Not live.
The 16 June results broadly matched the underlying xG — few surprises, little theft.
Every 16 June match
xG 1.79 – 0.53 · xPts 2.26 – 0.53 · Group I
France backed up their xG edge (1.79–0.53 xG), winning 3–1.
xG 0.80 – 2.52 · xPts 0.45 – 2.40 · Group I
Norway backed up their xG edge (0.80–2.52 xG), winning 1–4.
More: all daily recaps · all results · standings & expected points · unluckiest teams · the xG visualizer
Luck is measured per match: actual points minus expected points (xPts), an independent Poisson model on public post-match xG. Figures may differ from other public xG sources. Directional, not official — especially early in the tournament.