World Cup 2026 xG recap: 17 June

Latest available post-match xG · updated 17 June 2026, 07:22 UTC · 2 matches, 7 goals, 3.77 total xG. Not live.

The 17 June results broadly matched the underlying xG — few surprises, little theft.

Every 17 June match

xG 1.260.32 · xPts 2.12 0.58 · Group J

Argentina backed up their xG edge (1.26–0.32 xG), winning 3–0.

xG 1.660.53 · xPts 2.19 0.58 · Group J

Austria backed up their xG edge (1.66–0.53 xG), winning 3–1.

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Luck is measured per match: actual points minus expected points (xPts), an independent Poisson model on public post-match xG. Figures may differ from other public xG sources. Directional, not official — especially early in the tournament.