xG 0.65 – 0.87 · xPts 1.13 – 1.51 · Group K
An even contest (0.65–0.87 xG) finished 1–1.
World Cup 2026 xG recap: 17 June
Latest available post-match xG · updated 25 October 2026, 05:19 ET · 3 matches, 7 goals, 6.27 total xG. Not live.
The 17 June results ran true to the chances — few surprises, little theft. Every match below with its xG.
Every 17 June match
xG 1.25 – 0.73 · xPts 1.76 – 0.95 · Group L
Ghana edged a balanced game 1–0 (1.25–0.73 xG).
xG 1.16 – 1.61 · xPts 1.07 – 1.68 · Group K
Colombia edged a balanced game 1–3 (1.16–1.61 xG).
More: all daily recaps · all results · standings & expected points · unluckiest teams · the xG visualizer
Luck is measured per match: actual points minus expected points (xPts), an independent Poisson model on public post-match xG. Figures may differ from other public xG sources. Directional, not official — especially early in the tournament.