How lucky or unlucky were DR Congo in the World Cup 2026 group stage?

Group-stage totals: 4 points from 4.93 xPts (points luck -0.93) and 3 goals conceded from 1.83 xGA (defensive luck -1.17). The group-stage match-by-match xG table below shows how DR Congo's group-stage luck built game by game.

Where did DR Congo finish in Group K?

DR Congo finished third in Group K with 4 points from 4.93 group-stage xPts (Δ -0.93).

What are DR Congo's group, knockout and total xG numbers?

DR Congo have 3.42 group-stage xGF and 1.83 group-stage xGA, plus 0.77 knockout xGF and 2.16 knockout xGA. Total: 4.19 xGF, 3.99 xGA.

What was DR Congo's best xG match?

DR Congo's highest-xGF match was 3–1 vs Uzbekistan: 2.18 xG for and 0.20 xG against.

DR Congo at the 2026 World Cup

Eliminated

DR Congo are eliminated from the World Cup 2026 after Match 80 against England. England 2–1 DR Congo; England 2.16–0.77 DR Congo xG.

DR Congo have a strong xG difference (+1.59 xGD), with the group-stage chances ahead of the scoreboard story.

Next for DR Congo

Knockout result

DR Congo vs England

Match 80 (Round of 32) result page with score, match xG and advancement context.

Latest xG match

1–2 vs England

Knockout stage · xG 0.77-2.16 · eliminated

Group table

Group K finish

4 points from 4.93 group-stage xPts. Official group rank decides qualification.

Results

All scores with xG

Every finished match, scoreline, match xG and one-line verdict.

Quick answers

EliminatedAre DR Congo eliminated from the World Cup 2026?: DR Congo are eliminated from the World Cup 2026 after Match 80 against England. England 2–1 DR Congo; England 2.16–0.77 DR Congo xG.
Quietly dominantHow lucky or unlucky were DR Congo in the World Cup 2026 group stage?: Group-stage totals: 4 points from 4.93 xPts (points luck -0.93) and 3 goals conceded from 1.83 xGA (defensive luck -1.17). The group-stage match-by-match xG table below shows how DR Congo's group-stage luck built game by game.
Group finishWhere did DR Congo finish in Group K?: DR Congo finished third in Group K with 4 points from 4.93 group-stage xPts (Δ -0.93).
xG by stageWhat are DR Congo's group, knockout and total xG numbers?: DR Congo have 3.42 group-stage xGF and 1.83 group-stage xGA, plus 0.77 knockout xGF and 2.16 knockout xGA. Total: 4.19 xGF, 3.99 xGA.
Best xG matchWhat was DR Congo's best xG match?: DR Congo's highest-xGF match was 3–1 vs Uzbekistan: 2.18 xG for and 0.20 xG against.

xG by stage

Stage	Matches	Goals	xGF / xGA	xGD	xPts	Scope
Group stage	3	4–3	3.42 / 1.83	+1.59	4.93	Official group-table scope
Knockout	1	1–2	0.77 / 2.16	-1.39	0.55	Match xPts is chance context only
Total	4	5–5	4.19 / 3.99	+0.20	5.48	All completed xG-backed matches

Knockout status

EliminatedAre DR Congo eliminated from the World Cup 2026?: DR Congo are eliminated from the World Cup 2026 after Match 80 against England. England 2–1 DR Congo; England 2.16–0.77 DR Congo xG. DR Congo vs England xG guide/result.

Knockout receipts

1-2 vs EnglandKnockout stage · xG 0.77-2.16 · match xPts 0.55 · eliminated

Group-stage match receipts

1-1 vs PortugalxG 0.87-0.65 · xPts 1.51 · Δ -0.51
0-1 vs ColombiaxG 0.37-0.98 · xPts 0.77 · Δ -0.77
3-1 vs UzbekistanxG 2.18-0.20 · xPts 2.65 · Δ +0.35

Schedule context

DR Congo are +1.59 xGD through 3 xG matches against opponents averaging 19.3/48 in the World Cup field and FIFA #26.0 globally; led xG against a strong opponent field.

Group	Group K · 3rd in group
Knockout status	Eliminated Out after Match 80 vs England
Published FIFA rank	FIFA #41 · 32nd of 48 World Cup teams
xG vs schedule	Avg opponent field rank 19.3 / 48 · Avg opponent FIFA #26.0 · led xG against a strong opponent field
Group-stage played / record	3 · 1W 1D 1L
Group-stage points	4
Group-stage expected points (xPts)	4.93
Group-stage Δ (Points − xPts)	-0.93
Group-stage goals for / against	4 / 3
Group-stage xG for / against	3.42 / 1.83
Group-stage finishing (Goals − xG)	+0.58
Group-stage defensive luck (xGA − GA)	-1.17

Where DR Congo sit on the total xG luck quadrant

Where DR Congo sit across all xG-backed matches so far — finishing luck (goals − xG) across, defensive luck (xGA − goals conceded) up; the crosshair is zero, exactly as the chances suggest. On the balance of play they are clinical but leaky.

See DR Congo on the full interactive luck quadrant →

Best and worst group-stage xG matches

Best xG performance

DR Congo 3–1 Uzbekistan

DR Congo had their strongest chance profile against Uzbekistan, winning the xG battle 2.18–0.20.

Most unlucky result

DR Congo vs Colombia

DR Congo took 0 points from 0.77 xPts (Δ -0.77).

Group-stage match by match

Group-stage match-by-match luck — points taken minus expected points (xPts) each game. Green = took more than the chances deserved, red = deserved more.

Date	Match	Score	Group xG	xPts	Δ
17 June	@ Portugal	1–1	0.87–0.65	1.51	-0.51
23 June	@ Colombia	0–1	0.37–0.98	0.77	-0.77
27 June	v Uzbekistan	3–1	2.18–0.20	2.65	+0.35

Δ here is per group-stage match: the points DR Congo took that game minus their expected points (xPts) for it. Negative = robbed, positive = fortunate.

Knockout match by match

Date	Match	Score	Knockout xG	Match xPts	Verdict
1 July	@ England	1–2	0.77–2.16	0.55	England advanced with an xG edge (2.16–0.77 xG), winning 2–1.

Knockout rows are not added to group points or group-stage xPts. The score decides advancement; match xPts is chance-profile context.

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