England 2–1 DR Congo

Knockout xG verdict

England advanced with an xG edge (2.16–0.77 xG), winning 2–1.

Quick answers

ResultWho won England vs DR Congo?
England won 2–1 and advanced. The xG was England 2.16, DR Congo 0.77.
Better xGWho had the better xG in England vs DR Congo?
England had the better xG profile, creating the better chances 2.16–0.77 and winning 2–1.
Fair resultWas England 2–1 DR Congo fair by xG?
Yes. England won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
England advanced with the stronger chance profile (2.16–0.77 xG). Match xPts: England 2.27, DR Congo 0.55. In knockouts, xPts supports the verdict rather than changing the bracket.
Ranking contextWas England 2–1 DR Congo a published FIFA ranking upset?
No. DR Congo entered 36th of 48 in the World Cup field; England entered 4th of 48. The higher-ranked side got the result and had the stronger xG profile, 2.16–0.77.
Score2–1
Expected goals (xG)England 2.16 · DR Congo 0.77
Match xPtsEngland 2.27 · DR Congo 0.55
StageKnockout stage
Published FIFA rankEngland FIFA #4 (4th of 48) · DR Congo FIFA #46 (36th of 48)

Who had the better xG in England vs DR Congo?

England created the better chances — 2.16–0.77 xG, an edge of 1.39. And England duly won 2–1, the result matching the run of chances. Match xPts were England 2.27 and DR Congo 0.55; in a knockout match, xPts is chance context only and the score decides advancement.

Was England lucky or unlucky?

England were about on script in attack — 2 from 2.16 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (1 from 0.77 xGA). They advanced with the stronger chance profile.

Was DR Congo lucky or unlucky?

DR Congo were about on script in attack — 1 from 0.77 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (2 from 2.16 xGA). Their elimination matched the weaker chance profile.

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