Colombia 1–0 DR Congo

The xG verdict

Colombia edged a balanced game 1–0 (0.98–0.37 xG).

Quick answers

ResultWho won Colombia vs DR Congo?
Colombia won 1–0. The xG was Colombia 0.98, DR Congo 0.37.
Better xGWho had the better xG in Colombia vs DR Congo?
Colombia had the better xG profile, creating the better chances 0.98–0.37 and winning 1–0.
Fair resultWas Colombia 1–0 DR Congo fair by xG?
Yes. Colombia won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
Colombia turned a clear xG edge (0.98–0.37) into the full three points, finishing with 1.86 xPts (Δ +1.14).
Ranking contextWas Colombia 1–0 DR Congo a published FIFA ranking upset?
No. DR Congo entered 36th of 48 in the World Cup field; Colombia entered 12th of 48. The higher-ranked side got the result and had the stronger xG profile, 0.98–0.37.
Score1–0
Expected goals (xG)Colombia 0.98 · DR Congo 0.37
Expected points (xPts)Colombia 1.86 · DR Congo 0.77
StageGroup K
Published FIFA rankColombia FIFA #13 (12th of 48) · DR Congo FIFA #46 (36th of 48)

Who had the better xG in Colombia vs DR Congo?

Colombia created the better chances — 0.98–0.37 xG, an edge of 0.61. And Colombia duly won 1–0, the result matching the run of chances. In expected points, Colombia earned 1.86 and DR Congo 0.77 from this game; the actual return was 3 and 0 (Δ +1.14 for Colombia, -0.77 for DR Congo).

Was Colombia lucky or unlucky?

Colombia were about on script in attack — 1 from 0.98 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (0 from 0.37 xGA). A result backed by the stronger chance profile on the day (Δ +1.14).

Was DR Congo lucky or unlucky?

DR Congo were about on script in attack — 0 from 0.37 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (1 from 0.98 xGA). On balance their result return trailed the chances (Δ -0.77).

What Colombia 1–0 DR Congo means for Group K

Colombia sit 1st in Group K on 7 points (5.45 xPts, Δ +1.55); DR Congo sit 3rd on 4 points (4.93 xPts, Δ -0.93). See the full Group K table →

23 June xG recap · Colombia · DR Congo · xG robberies · stat leaders · ← All results