xG 2.61 – 0.24 · xPts 2.74 – 0.16 · Group K
Portugal backed up their xG edge (2.61–0.24 xG), winning 5–0.
World Cup 2026 xG recap: 23 June
Latest available post-match xG · updated 2 July 2026, 02:56 ET · 4 matches, 7 goals, 7.93 total xG. Not live.
4 matches on 23 June, read through expected goals — the day's robberies, smash-and-grabs and standout performances below.
xG stories of the day
Biggest xG robbery
England out-chanced Ghana 1.36–0.17 but took 1 point from a 0–0 — worth 2.33 xPts on the chances (Δ -1.33). xG breakdown →
Most dominant display
Portugal controlled the chances against Uzbekistan, 2.61–0.24 xG — a 5–0 the balance of play backs up. xG breakdown →
Every 23 June match
xG 1.36 – 0.17 · xPts 2.33 – 0.40 · Group L
England created far more (1.36–0.17 xG) but were held to a 0–0 draw.
xG 0.55 – 1.65 · xPts 0.60 – 2.17 · Group L
Croatia backed up their xG edge (1.65–0.55 xG), winning 0–1.
xG 0.98 – 0.37 · xPts 1.86 – 0.77 · Group K
Colombia edged a balanced game 1–0 (0.98–0.37 xG).
More: all daily recaps · all results · standings & expected points · unluckiest teams · the xG visualizer
Luck is measured per match: actual points minus expected points (xPts), an independent Poisson model on public post-match xG. Figures may differ from other public xG sources. Directional, not official — especially early in the tournament.