Portugal 5–0 Uzbekistan

The xG verdict

Portugal backed up their xG edge (2.61–0.24 xG), winning 5–0.

Quick answers

ResultWho won Portugal vs Uzbekistan?
Portugal won 5–0. The xG was Portugal 2.61, Uzbekistan 0.24.
Better xGWho had the better xG in Portugal vs Uzbekistan?
Portugal had the better xG profile, creating the better chances 2.61–0.24 and winning 5–0.
Fair resultWas Portugal 5–0 Uzbekistan fair by xG?
Yes. Portugal won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
Portugal turned a clear xG edge (2.61–0.24) into the full three points, finishing with 2.74 xPts (Δ +0.26).
Ranking contextWas Portugal 5–0 Uzbekistan a published FIFA ranking upset?
No. Uzbekistan entered 37th of 48 in the World Cup field; Portugal entered 5th of 48. The higher-ranked side got the result and had the stronger xG profile, 2.61–0.24.
Score5–0
Expected goals (xG)Portugal 2.61 · Uzbekistan 0.24
Expected points (xPts)Portugal 2.74 · Uzbekistan 0.16
StageGroup K
Published FIFA rankPortugal FIFA #5 (5th of 48) · Uzbekistan FIFA #50 (37th of 48)

Who had the better xG in Portugal vs Uzbekistan?

Portugal created the better chances — 2.61–0.24 xG, an edge of 2.37. And Portugal duly won 5–0, the result matching the run of chances. In expected points, Portugal earned 2.74 and Uzbekistan 0.16 from this game; the actual return was 3 and 0 (Δ +0.26 for Portugal, -0.16 for Uzbekistan).

Was Portugal lucky or unlucky?

Portugal were clinical in front of goal — 5 goals from 2.61 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (0 from 0.24 xGA). A fair return for the performance (Δ +0.26).

Was Uzbekistan lucky or unlucky?

Uzbekistan were about on script in attack — 0 from 0.24 xG, but punished at the back, shipping 5 from only 2.61 xGA faced. A fair return for the performance (Δ -0.16).

What Portugal 5–0 Uzbekistan means for Group K

Portugal sit 2nd in Group K on 5 points (4.72 xPts, Δ +0.28); Uzbekistan sit 4th on 0 points (1.45 xPts, Δ -1.45). See the full Group K table →

23 June xG recap · Portugal · Uzbekistan · xG robberies · stat leaders · ← All results