How lucky or unlucky were Uzbekistan in the World Cup 2026 group stage?

Group-stage totals: 0 points from 1.45 xPts (points luck -1.45) and 11 goals conceded from 6.40 xGA (defensive luck -4.60). The group-stage match-by-match xG table below shows how Uzbekistan's group-stage luck built game by game.

What are Uzbekistan's group, knockout and total xG numbers?

Uzbekistan have 1.60 group-stage xGF and 6.40 group-stage xGA. No knockout xG is recorded for them yet.

What was Uzbekistan's best xG match?

Uzbekistan's highest-xGF match was 1–3 vs Colombia: 1.16 xG for and 1.61 xG against.

Uzbekistan at the 2026 World Cup

Group exit

Uzbekistan did not qualify for the World Cup 2026 knockout stage. Uzbekistan finished fourth in Group K with 0 points from 1.45 group-stage xPts (Δ -1.45).

Uzbekistan had 2 goals from 1.60 xG (finishing luck +0.40) and 0 points from 1.45 xPts (points luck -1.45) in the World Cup 2026 group stage.

Next for Uzbekistan

Latest xG match

1–3 vs DR Congo

Group K · xG 0.20-2.18

Group table

Group K finish

0 points from 1.45 group-stage xPts. Official group rank decides qualification.

Results

All scores with xG

Every finished match, scoreline, match xG and one-line verdict.

Quick answers

Group exitDid Uzbekistan qualify for the World Cup 2026 knockouts?: Uzbekistan did not qualify for the World Cup 2026 knockout stage. Uzbekistan finished fourth in Group K with 0 points from 1.45 group-stage xPts (Δ -1.45).
Group-stage verdictHow lucky or unlucky were Uzbekistan in the World Cup 2026 group stage?: Group-stage totals: 0 points from 1.45 xPts (points luck -1.45) and 11 goals conceded from 6.40 xGA (defensive luck -4.60). The group-stage match-by-match xG table below shows how Uzbekistan's group-stage luck built game by game.
Group finishWhere did Uzbekistan finish in Group K?: Uzbekistan finished fourth in Group K with 0 points from 1.45 group-stage xPts (Δ -1.45).
xG by stageWhat are Uzbekistan's group, knockout and total xG numbers?: Uzbekistan have 1.60 group-stage xGF and 6.40 group-stage xGA. No knockout xG is recorded for them yet.
Best xG matchWhat was Uzbekistan's best xG match?: Uzbekistan's highest-xGF match was 1–3 vs Colombia: 1.16 xG for and 1.61 xG against.

xG by stage

Stage	Matches	Goals	xGF / xGA	xGD	xPts	Scope
Group stage	3	2–11	1.60 / 6.40	-4.80	1.44	Official group-table scope
Total	3	2–11	1.60 / 6.40	-4.80	1.44	All completed xG-backed matches

Group-stage match receipts

1-3 vs ColombiaxG 1.16-1.61 · xPts 1.07 · Δ -1.07
0-5 vs PortugalxG 0.24-2.61 · xPts 0.16 · Δ -0.16
1-3 vs DR CongoxG 0.20-2.18 · xPts 0.21 · Δ -0.21

Schedule context

Uzbekistan are -4.80 xGD through 3 xG matches against opponents averaging 16.7/48 in the World Cup field and FIFA #19.7 globally; trailed xG against a strong opponent field.

Group	Group K · 4th in group
Knockout status	Group exit Group-stage exit
Published FIFA rank	FIFA #60 · 40th of 48 World Cup teams
xG vs schedule	Avg opponent field rank 16.7 / 48 · Avg opponent FIFA #19.7 · trailed xG against a strong opponent field
Group-stage played / record	3 · 0W 0D 3L
Group-stage points	0
Group-stage expected points (xPts)	1.45
Group-stage Δ (Points − xPts)	-1.45
Group-stage goals for / against	2 / 11
Group-stage xG for / against	1.60 / 6.40
Group-stage finishing (Goals − xG)	+0.40
Group-stage defensive luck (xGA − GA)	-4.60

Where Uzbekistan sit on the total xG luck quadrant

Where Uzbekistan sit across all xG-backed matches so far — finishing luck (goals − xG) across, defensive luck (xGA − goals conceded) up; the crosshair is zero, exactly as the chances suggest. On the balance of play they are clinical but leaky.

See Uzbekistan on the full interactive luck quadrant →

Best and worst group-stage xG matches

Best xG performance

Uzbekistan 1–3 Colombia

Uzbekistan had their strongest chance profile against Colombia, winning the xG battle 1.16–1.61.

Most unlucky result

Uzbekistan vs Colombia

Uzbekistan took 0 points from 1.07 xPts (Δ -1.07).

Group-stage match by match

Group-stage match-by-match luck — points taken minus expected points (xPts) each game. Green = took more than the chances deserved, red = deserved more.

Date	Match	Score	Group xG	xPts	Δ
17 June	v Colombia	1–3	1.16–1.61	1.07	-1.07
23 June	@ Portugal	0–5	0.24–2.61	0.16	-0.16
27 June	@ DR Congo	1–3	0.20–2.18	0.21	-0.21

Δ here is per group-stage match: the points Uzbekistan took that game minus their expected points (xPts) for it. Negative = robbed, positive = fortunate.

← Group K · Standings · Round of 32 guides · Unluckiest teams · How xPts works · Luck quadrant