South Africa vs Canada
Canada advanced
South Africa 0–1 Canada
Match xG: South Africa 0.14 · Canada 1.38
Canada advanced with an xG edge (1.38–0.14 xG), winning 0–1.
World Cup 2026 Round of 32 matchups
Latest available post-match xG · updated 18 August 2026, 13:37 ET. Not predictions.
Confirmed Round of 32 pages from the group-stage numbers: xGF, xGA, xPts, actual points and points-vs-xPts luck. Once a knockout match has post-match xG, that same guide becomes the actual advancement and xG verdict page, with match xPts used only as chance context.
Quick answers
- Where are the confirmed World Cup 2026 Round of 32 matchups?
- All 16 World Cup 2026 Round of 32 matchups are confirmed and listed on this page. 16 have post-match xG result verdicts so far.
- What do the Round of 32 xG form guides show?
- Before kickoff, each guide compares group-stage xGF, xGA, xPts, actual points and points-vs-xPts luck. After the match has xG, the same URL switches to actual advancement plus an xG verdict; match xPts is chance context only, not bracket points.
- Is the World Cup 2026 knockout bracket re-seeded?
- No. The Round of 32 bracket is fixed by match number and FIFA's third-place allocation matrix. Group winners can face runners-up or assigned best third-place teams.
Confirmed xG guides and results
Germany vs Paraguay
Paraguay advanced
Germany 1–1 (3–4 pens) Paraguay
Match xG: Germany 1.57 · Paraguay 0.35
Germany had the stronger chance profile (1.57–0.35 xG) but were knocked out 1–1 (3–4 pens); Paraguay advanced against the xG run.
Netherlands vs Morocco
Morocco advanced
Netherlands 1–1 (2–3 pens) Morocco
Match xG: Netherlands 0.24 · Morocco 1.38
Morocco created far more (1.38–0.24 xG), and Morocco advanced on penalties after 1–1 (2–3 pens).
Shootout story Morocco advanced on penalties with a 1.38-0.24 xG edge
Brazil vs Japan
Brazil advanced
Brazil 2–1 Japan
Match xG: Brazil 2.07 · Japan 0.33
Brazil advanced with an xG edge (2.07–0.33 xG), winning 2–1.
France vs Sweden
France advanced
France 3–0 Sweden
Match xG: France 3.24 · Sweden 0.70
France advanced with an xG edge (3.24–0.70 xG), winning 3–0.
Ivory Coast vs Norway
Norway advanced
Ivory Coast 1–2 Norway
Match xG: Ivory Coast 1.49 · Norway 1.90
Norway advanced from a balanced knockout game 1–2 (1.49–1.90 xG).
Mexico vs Ecuador
Mexico advanced
Mexico 2–0 Ecuador
Match xG: Mexico 1.05 · Ecuador 0.75
Mexico advanced from a balanced knockout game 2–0 (1.05–0.75 xG).
England vs DR Congo
England advanced
England 2–1 DR Congo
Match xG: England 2.16 · DR Congo 0.77
England advanced with an xG edge (2.16–0.77 xG), winning 2–1.
USA vs Bosnia and Herzegovina
USA advanced
USA 2–0 Bosnia and Herzegovina
Match xG: USA 0.88 · Bosnia and Herzegovina 0.25
USA advanced from a balanced knockout game 2–0 (0.88–0.25 xG).
Belgium vs Senegal
Belgium advanced
Belgium 3–2 Senegal
Match xG: Belgium 1.74 · Senegal 3.58
Senegal had the stronger chance profile (3.58–1.74 xG) but were knocked out 3–2; Belgium advanced against the xG run.
BREAKING: Belgium advanced despite Senegal's 3.58-1.74 xG edge
Portugal vs Croatia
Portugal advanced
Portugal 2–1 Croatia
Match xG: Portugal 2.20 · Croatia 1.34
Portugal advanced with an xG edge (2.20–1.34 xG), winning 2–1.
Spain vs Austria
Spain advanced
Spain 3–0 Austria
Match xG: Spain 2.80 · Austria 0.32
Spain advanced with an xG edge (2.80–0.32 xG), winning 3–0.
Switzerland vs Algeria
Switzerland advanced
Switzerland 2–0 Algeria
Match xG: Switzerland 2.45 · Algeria 0.74
Switzerland advanced with an xG edge (2.45–0.74 xG), winning 2–0.
Argentina vs Cape Verde
Argentina advanced
Argentina 3–2 Cape Verde
Match xG: Argentina 2.26 · Cape Verde 0.47
Argentina advanced with an xG edge (2.26–0.47 xG), winning 3–2.
Colombia vs Ghana
Colombia advanced
Colombia 1–0 Ghana
Match xG: Colombia 2.04 · Ghana 0.27
Colombia advanced with an xG edge (2.04–0.27 xG), winning 1–0.
Australia vs Egypt
Egypt advanced
Australia 1–1 (2–4 pens) Egypt
Match xG: Australia 0.84 · Egypt 1.32
Egypt advanced on penalties after a balanced knockout game 1–1 (2–4 pens) (0.84–1.32 xG).
More context: full bracket · results and xG · knockout xG verdicts · group standings.