Who won USA vs Bosnia and Herzegovina?

USA won 2–0. The xG was USA 0.88, Bosnia and Herzegovina 0.25.

What was the xG in USA vs Bosnia and Herzegovina?

USA finished with 0.88 xG and Bosnia and Herzegovina with 0.25 xG.

Will Folarin Balogun miss USA vs Belgium?

Balogun is set to miss USA vs Belgium after receiving a straight red card against Bosnia and Herzegovina. A red card carries an automatic next-match suspension, unless a later appeal or disciplinary decision changes the outcome.

Was USA's win over Bosnia backed by xG?

Yes. USA advanced with the stronger xG profile and a clean sheet, so the 2-0 result reads as supported by the chance quality rather than a major robbery.

World Cup 2026 xG story · 1 July

USA beat Bosnia with the xG edge; Balogun's red card shapes Belgium

USA advanced with a clean-sheet knockout win the expected goals support. The bigger fallout is availability: Folarin Balogun scored, was sent off after the break, and is set to miss Belgium through suspension.

The xG case file

Score: USA 2–0 Bosnia and Herzegovina
xG: USA 0.88–0.25 Bosnia and Herzegovina
xPts: USA 1.90, Bosnia and Herzegovina 0.70
Advancement: USA advanced

Quick answers

Who won USA vs Bosnia and Herzegovina?: USA won 2–0. The xG was USA 0.88, Bosnia and Herzegovina 0.25.
What was the xG in USA vs Bosnia and Herzegovina?: USA finished with 0.88 xG and Bosnia and Herzegovina with 0.25 xG.
Was USA 2–0 Bosnia and Herzegovina fair by xG?: USA created the better chances — 0.88–0.25 xG, an edge of 0.63. And USA duly won 2–0, the result matching the run of chances. Match xPts were USA 1.90 and Bosnia and Herzegovina 0.70; in a knockout match, xPts is chance context only and the score decides advancement.
Will Folarin Balogun miss USA vs Belgium?: Balogun is set to miss USA vs Belgium after receiving a straight red card against Bosnia and Herzegovina. A red card carries an automatic next-match suspension, unless a later appeal or disciplinary decision changes the outcome.
Was USA's win over Bosnia backed by xG?: Yes. USA advanced with the stronger xG profile and a clean sheet, so the 2-0 result reads as supported by the chance quality rather than a major robbery.

A controlled win with a costly finish

This is not a scoreboard-versus-xG complaint. USA created the stronger chance profile, protected the clean sheet, and earned the Round of 16 place. The story is what came with it: the striker who opened the scoring is now the player USA must replace for the Belgium match.

Why Balogun's red card matters

A red card carries an automatic next-match suspension in the knockout rounds, while serious incidents can still bring further discipline. That makes the Belgium match a different kind of test for USA: the bracket result is secure, but the forward line changes because of the sending-off.

News context: SB Nation on the Balogun red card · FourFourTwo on World Cup suspension rules

What the expected goals say

USA created the better chances — 0.88–0.25 xG, an edge of 0.63. And USA duly won 2–0, the result matching the run of chances. Match xPts were USA 1.90 and Bosnia and Herzegovina 0.70; in a knockout match, xPts is chance context only and the score decides advancement.

How each side fared

USA were clinical in front of goal — 2 goals from 0.88 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (0 from 0.25 xGA). They advanced with the stronger chance profile.

Bosnia and Herzegovina were about on script in attack — 0 from 0.25 xG, but punished at the back, shipping 2 from only 0.88 xGA faced. Their elimination matched the weaker chance profile.

What it means for the tournament luck table

See the full USA vs Bosnia and Herzegovina xG breakdown, the USA luck tracker and Bosnia and Herzegovina luck tracker, or put it in context against the biggest xG robberies, the unluckiest teams and the overperformers of the World Cup 2026.