How lucky or unlucky were Bosnia and Herzegovina in the World Cup 2026 group stage?

Group-stage totals: 4 points from 2.64 xPts (points luck +1.36) and 6 goals conceded from 4.06 xGA (defensive luck -1.94). The group-stage match-by-match xG table below shows how Bosnia and Herzegovina's group-stage luck built game by game.

Where did Bosnia and Herzegovina finish in Group B?

Bosnia and Herzegovina finished third in Group B with 4 points from 2.64 group-stage xPts (Δ +1.36).

What are Bosnia and Herzegovina's group, knockout and total xG numbers?

Bosnia and Herzegovina have 1.87 group-stage xGF and 4.06 group-stage xGA, plus 0.25 knockout xGF and 0.88 knockout xGA. Total: 2.12 xGF, 4.94 xGA.

What was Bosnia and Herzegovina's best xG match?

Bosnia and Herzegovina's highest-xGF match was 1–1 vs Canada: 0.96 xG for and 1.23 xG against.

Bosnia and Herzegovina at the 2026 World Cup

Eliminated

Bosnia and Herzegovina are eliminated from the World Cup 2026 after Match 81 against USA. USA 2–0 Bosnia and Herzegovina; USA 0.88–0.25 Bosnia and Herzegovina xG.

Bosnia and Herzegovina have 5 goals from 1.87 xG, a clear clinical-finishing group-stage read.

Next for Bosnia and Herzegovina

Knockout result

Bosnia and Herzegovina vs USA

Match 81 (Round of 32) result page with score, match xG and advancement context.

Latest xG match

0–2 vs USA

Knockout stage · xG 0.25-0.88 · eliminated

Group table

Group B finish

4 points from 2.64 group-stage xPts. Official group rank decides qualification.

Results

All scores with xG

Every finished match, scoreline, match xG and one-line verdict.

Quick answers

EliminatedAre Bosnia and Herzegovina eliminated from the World Cup 2026?: Bosnia and Herzegovina are eliminated from the World Cup 2026 after Match 81 against USA. USA 2–0 Bosnia and Herzegovina; USA 0.88–0.25 Bosnia and Herzegovina xG.
Clinical finishingHow lucky or unlucky were Bosnia and Herzegovina in the World Cup 2026 group stage?: Group-stage totals: 4 points from 2.64 xPts (points luck +1.36) and 6 goals conceded from 4.06 xGA (defensive luck -1.94). The group-stage match-by-match xG table below shows how Bosnia and Herzegovina's group-stage luck built game by game.
Group finishWhere did Bosnia and Herzegovina finish in Group B?: Bosnia and Herzegovina finished third in Group B with 4 points from 2.64 group-stage xPts (Δ +1.36).
xG by stageWhat are Bosnia and Herzegovina's group, knockout and total xG numbers?: Bosnia and Herzegovina have 1.87 group-stage xGF and 4.06 group-stage xGA, plus 0.25 knockout xGF and 0.88 knockout xGA. Total: 2.12 xGF, 4.94 xGA.
Best xG matchWhat was Bosnia and Herzegovina's best xG match?: Bosnia and Herzegovina's highest-xGF match was 1–1 vs Canada: 0.96 xG for and 1.23 xG against.

xG by stage

Stage	Matches	Goals	xGF / xGA	xGD	xPts	Scope
Group stage	3	5–6	1.87 / 4.06	-2.19	2.63	Official group-table scope
Knockout	1	0–2	0.25 / 0.88	-0.63	0.70	Match xPts is chance context only
Total	4	5–8	2.12 / 4.94	-2.82	3.33	All completed xG-backed matches

Knockout status

EliminatedAre Bosnia and Herzegovina eliminated from the World Cup 2026?: Bosnia and Herzegovina are eliminated from the World Cup 2026 after Match 81 against USA. USA 2–0 Bosnia and Herzegovina; USA 0.88–0.25 Bosnia and Herzegovina xG. Bosnia and Herzegovina vs USA xG guide/result.

Knockout receipts

0-2 vs USAKnockout stage · xG 0.25-0.88 · match xPts 0.70 · eliminated

Group-stage match receipts

1-1 vs CanadaxG 0.96-1.23 · xPts 1.15 · Δ -0.15
1-4 vs SwitzerlandxG 0.23-2.06 · xPts 0.25 · Δ -0.25
3-1 vs QatarxG 0.68-0.77 · xPts 1.23 · Δ +1.77

Featured story

UPDATE:

USA advanced, and FIFA cleared Balogun for Belgium

USA beat Bosnia and Herzegovina 2–0 with a 0.88-0.25 xG edge; Balogun scored, saw red, then had the automatic ban suspended before Belgium.

Schedule context

Bosnia and Herzegovina are -2.19 xGD through 3 xG matches against opponents averaging 26.7/48 in the World Cup field and FIFA #34.3 globally; trailed xG against a mid-ranked opponent field.

Group	Group B · 3rd in group
Knockout status	Eliminated Out after Match 81 vs USA
Published FIFA rank	FIFA #61 · 41st of 48 World Cup teams
xG vs schedule	Avg opponent field rank 26.7 / 48 · Avg opponent FIFA #34.3 · trailed xG against a mid-ranked opponent field
Group-stage played / record	3 · 1W 1D 1L
Group-stage points	4
Group-stage expected points (xPts)	2.64
Group-stage Δ (Points − xPts)	+1.36
Group-stage goals for / against	5 / 6
Group-stage xG for / against	1.87 / 4.06
Group-stage finishing (Goals − xG)	+3.13
Group-stage defensive luck (xGA − GA)	-1.94

Where Bosnia and Herzegovina sit on the total xG luck quadrant

Where Bosnia and Herzegovina sit across all xG-backed matches so far — finishing luck (goals − xG) across, defensive luck (xGA − goals conceded) up; the crosshair is zero, exactly as the chances suggest. On the balance of play they are clinical but leaky.

See Bosnia and Herzegovina on the full interactive luck quadrant →

Best and worst group-stage xG matches

Best xG performance

Bosnia and Herzegovina 3–1 Qatar

Bosnia and Herzegovina had their strongest chance profile against Qatar, winning the xG battle 0.68–0.77.

Most fortunate result

Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Qatar

Bosnia and Herzegovina took 3 points from 1.23 xPts (Δ +1.77).

Group-stage match by match

Group-stage match-by-match luck — points taken minus expected points (xPts) each game. Green = took more than the chances deserved, red = deserved more.

Date	Match	Score	Group xG	xPts	Δ
12 June	@ Canada	1–1	0.96–1.23	1.15	-0.15
18 June	@ Switzerland	1–4	0.23–2.06	0.25	-0.25
24 June	v Qatar	3–1	0.68–0.77	1.23	+1.77

Δ here is per group-stage match: the points Bosnia and Herzegovina took that game minus their expected points (xPts) for it. Negative = robbed, positive = fortunate.

Knockout match by match

Date	Match	Score	Knockout xG	Match xPts	Verdict
1 July	@ USA	0–2	0.25–0.88	0.70	USA advanced from a balanced knockout game 2–0 (0.88–0.25 xG).

Knockout rows are not added to group points or group-stage xPts. The score decides advancement; match xPts is chance-profile context.

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