Switzerland 4–1 Bosnia and Herzegovina

The xG verdict

Switzerland backed up their xG edge (2.06–0.23 xG), winning 4–1.

Quick answers

ResultWho won Switzerland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina?
Switzerland won 4–1. The xG was Switzerland 2.06, Bosnia and Herzegovina 0.23.
Better xGWho had the better xG in Switzerland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina?
Switzerland had the better xG profile, creating the better chances 2.06–0.23 and winning 4–1.
Fair resultWas Switzerland 4–1 Bosnia and Herzegovina fair by xG?
Yes. Switzerland won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
Switzerland turned a clear xG edge (2.06–0.23) into the full three points, finishing with 2.59 xPts (Δ +0.41).
Ranking contextWas Switzerland 4–1 Bosnia and Herzegovina a published FIFA ranking upset?
No. Bosnia and Herzegovina entered 43rd of 48 in the World Cup field; Switzerland entered 18th of 48. The higher-ranked side got the result and had the stronger xG profile, 2.06–0.23.
Score4–1
Expected goals (xG)Switzerland 2.06 · Bosnia and Herzegovina 0.23
Expected points (xPts)Switzerland 2.59 · Bosnia and Herzegovina 0.25
StageGroup B
Published FIFA rankSwitzerland FIFA #19 (18th of 48) · Bosnia and Herzegovina FIFA #64 (43rd of 48)

Who had the better xG in Switzerland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Switzerland created the better chances — 2.06–0.23 xG, an edge of 1.83. And Switzerland duly won 4–1, the result matching the run of chances. In expected points, Switzerland earned 2.59 and Bosnia and Herzegovina 0.25 from this game; the actual return was 3 and 0 (Δ +0.41 for Switzerland, -0.25 for Bosnia and Herzegovina).

Was Switzerland lucky or unlucky?

Switzerland were clinical in front of goal — 4 goals from 2.06 xG, but punished at the back, shipping 1 from only 0.23 xGA faced. A fair return for the performance (Δ +0.41).

Was Bosnia and Herzegovina lucky or unlucky?

Bosnia and Herzegovina were clinical in front of goal — 1 goal from 0.23 xG, but punished at the back, shipping 4 from only 2.06 xGA faced. A fair return for the performance (Δ -0.25).

What Switzerland 4–1 Bosnia and Herzegovina means for Group B

Switzerland sit 1st in Group B on 7 points (6.30 xPts, Δ +0.70); Bosnia and Herzegovina sit 3rd on 4 points (2.64 xPts, Δ +1.36). See the full Group B table →

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