World Cup 2026 xG recap: 12 June

Latest available post-match xG · updated 17 June 2026, 07:22 UTC · 2 matches, 5 goals, 5.32 total xG. Not live.

The 12 June results broadly matched the underlying xG — few surprises, little theft.

Every 12 June match

xG 2.300.83 · xPts 2.29 0.53 · Group A

South Korea backed up their xG edge (2.30–0.83 xG), winning 2–1.

xG 1.230.96 · xPts 1.56 1.15 · Group B

An even contest (1.23–0.96 xG) finished 1–1.

More: all daily recaps · all results · standings & expected points · unluckiest teams · the xG visualizer

Luck is measured per match: actual points minus expected points (xPts), an independent Poisson model on public post-match xG. Figures may differ from other public xG sources. Directional, not official — especially early in the tournament.