xG 2.30 – 0.83 · xPts 2.29 – 0.53 · Group A
South Korea backed up their xG edge (2.30–0.83 xG), winning 2–1.
Latest available post-match xG · updated 17 June 2026, 07:22 UTC · 2 matches, 5 goals, 5.32 total xG. Not live.
The 12 June results broadly matched the underlying xG — few surprises, little theft.
South Korea backed up their xG edge (2.30–0.83 xG), winning 2–1.
An even contest (1.23–0.96 xG) finished 1–1.
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Luck is measured per match: actual points minus expected points (xPts), an independent Poisson model on public post-match xG. Figures may differ from other public xG sources. Directional, not official — especially early in the tournament.