xG 1.23 – 0.96 · xPts 1.56 – 1.15 · Group B
An even contest (1.23–0.96 xG) finished 1–1.
World Cup 2026 xG recap: 12 June
Latest available post-match xG · updated 25 October 2026, 05:19 ET · 2 matches, 7 goals, 4.15 total xG. Not live.
The 12 June results ran true to the chances — few surprises, little theft. Every match below with its xG.
Every 12 June match
xG 1.42 – 0.54 · xPts 2.04 – 0.69 · Group D
USA backed up their xG edge (1.42–0.54 xG), winning 4–1.
More: all daily recaps · all results · standings & expected points · unluckiest teams · the xG visualizer
Luck is measured per match: actual points minus expected points (xPts), an independent Poisson model on public post-match xG. Figures may differ from other public xG sources. Directional, not official — especially early in the tournament.