xG 1.46 – 0.07 · xPts 2.47 – 0.29 · Group A
Mexico backed up their xG edge (1.46–0.07 xG), winning 2–0.
Latest available post-match xG · updated 17 June 2026, 07:22 UTC · 1 match, 2 goals, 1.53 total xG. Not live.
The only World Cup 2026 game on 11 June was Mexico 2–0 South Africa. Mexico backed up their xG edge (1.46–0.07 xG), winning 2–0.
Mexico backed up their xG edge (1.46–0.07 xG), winning 2–0.
More: all daily recaps · all results · standings & expected points · unluckiest teams · the xG visualizer
Luck is measured per match: actual points minus expected points (xPts), an independent Poisson model on public post-match xG. Figures may differ from other public xG sources. Directional, not official — especially early in the tournament.