xG 1.46 – 0.07 · xPts 2.47 – 0.29 · Group A
Mexico backed up their xG edge (1.46–0.07 xG), winning 2–0.
World Cup 2026 xG recap: 11 June
Latest available post-match xG · updated 30 July 2026, 12:26 ET · 2 matches, 5 goals, 4.66 total xG. Not live.
The 11 June results ran true to the chances — few surprises, little theft. Every match below with its xG.
Every 11 June match
xG 2.30 – 0.83 · xPts 2.29 – 0.53 · Group A
South Korea backed up their xG edge (2.30–0.83 xG), winning 2–1.
More: all daily recaps · all results · standings & expected points · unluckiest teams · the xG visualizer
Luck is measured per match: actual points minus expected points (xPts), an independent Poisson model on public post-match xG. Figures may differ from other public xG sources. Directional, not official — especially early in the tournament.