Mexico 2–0 South Africa
Mexico backed up their xG edge (1.46–0.07 xG), winning 2–0.
Quick answers
- ResultWho won Mexico vs South Africa?
- Mexico won 2–0. The xG was Mexico 1.46, South Africa 0.07.
- Better xGWho had the better xG in Mexico vs South Africa?
- Mexico had the better xG profile, creating the better chances 1.46–0.07 and winning 2–0.
- Fair resultWas Mexico 2–0 South Africa fair by xG?
- Yes. Mexico won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
- Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
- Mexico turned a clear xG edge (1.46–0.07) into the full three points, finishing with 2.47 xPts (Δ +0.53).
- Ranking contextWas Mexico 2–0 South Africa a published FIFA ranking upset?
- No. South Africa entered 40th of 48 in the World Cup field; Mexico entered 13th of 48. The higher-ranked side got the result and had the stronger xG profile, 1.46–0.07.
| Score | 2–0 |
|---|---|
| Expected goals (xG) | Mexico 1.46 · South Africa 0.07 |
| Expected points (xPts) | Mexico 2.47 · South Africa 0.29 |
| Stage | Group A |
| Published FIFA rank | Mexico FIFA #14 (13th of 48) · South Africa FIFA #60 (40th of 48) |
Who had the better xG in Mexico vs South Africa?
Mexico created the better chances — 1.46–0.07 xG, an edge of 1.39. And Mexico duly won 2–0, the result matching the run of chances. In expected points, Mexico earned 2.47 and South Africa 0.29 from this game; the actual return was 3 and 0 (Δ +0.53 for Mexico, -0.29 for South Africa).
Was Mexico lucky or unlucky?
Mexico were clinical in front of goal — 2 goals from 1.46 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (0 from 0.07 xGA). A result backed by the stronger chance profile on the day (Δ +0.53).
Was South Africa lucky or unlucky?
South Africa were about on script in attack — 0 from 0.07 xG, but punished at the back, shipping 2 from only 1.46 xGA faced. A fair return for the performance (Δ -0.29).
What Mexico 2–0 South Africa means for Group A
Mexico sit 1st in Group A on 9 points (5.68 xPts, Δ +3.32); South Africa sit 2nd on 4 points (3.47 xPts, Δ +0.53). See the full Group A table →
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