South Korea 2–1 Czechia

The xG verdict

South Korea backed up their xG edge (2.30–0.83 xG), winning 2–1.

Quick answers

ResultWho won South Korea vs Czechia?
South Korea won 2–1. The xG was South Korea 2.30, Czechia 0.83.
Better xGWho had the better xG in South Korea vs Czechia?
South Korea had the better xG profile, creating the better chances 2.30–0.83 and winning 2–1.
Fair resultWas South Korea 2–1 Czechia fair by xG?
Yes. South Korea won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
South Korea turned a clear xG edge (2.30–0.83) into the full three points, finishing with 2.29 xPts (Δ +0.71).
Ranking contextWas South Korea 2–1 Czechia a published FIFA ranking upset?
No. Czechia entered 32nd of 48 in the World Cup field; South Korea entered 23rd of 48. The higher-ranked side got the result and had the stronger xG profile, 2.30–0.83.
Score2–1
Expected goals (xG)South Korea 2.30 · Czechia 0.83
Expected points (xPts)South Korea 2.29 · Czechia 0.53
StageGroup A
Published FIFA rankSouth Korea FIFA #25 (23rd of 48) · Czechia FIFA #40 (32nd of 48)

Who had the better xG in South Korea vs Czechia?

South Korea created the better chances — 2.30–0.83 xG, an edge of 1.47. And South Korea duly won 2–1, the result matching the run of chances. In expected points, South Korea earned 2.29 and Czechia 0.53 from this game; the actual return was 3 and 0 (Δ +0.71 for South Korea, -0.53 for Czechia).

Was South Korea lucky or unlucky?

South Korea were about on script in attack — 2 from 2.30 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (1 from 0.83 xGA). A result backed by the stronger chance profile on the day (Δ +0.71).

Was Czechia lucky or unlucky?

Czechia were about on script in attack — 1 from 0.83 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (2 from 2.30 xGA). On balance their result return trailed the chances (Δ -0.53).

What South Korea 2–1 Czechia means for Group A

South Korea sit 3rd in Group A on 3 points (5.09 xPts, Δ -2.09); Czechia sit 4th on 1 point (2.18 xPts, Δ -1.18). See the full Group A table →

11 June xG recap · South Korea · Czechia · xG robberies · stat leaders · ← All results