xG 0.60 – 3.20 · xPts 0.21 – 2.70 · Group B
Switzerland created far more (3.20–0.60 xG) but were held to a 1–1 draw.
World Cup 2026 xG recap: 13 June
Latest available post-match xG · updated 30 July 2026, 12:26 ET · 4 matches, 7 goals, 11.07 total xG. Not live.
4 matches on 13 June, read through expected goals — the day's robberies, smash-and-grabs and standout performances below.
xG stories of the day
Most fortunate result
Australia took 3 points from a 2–0 while out-chanced 1.18–1.36 — clinical, or fortunate (Δ +1.76). xG breakdown →
Biggest xG robbery
Switzerland out-chanced Qatar 3.20–0.60 but took 1 point from a 1–1 — worth 2.70 xPts on the chances (Δ -1.70). xG breakdown →
Every 13 June match
xG 1.26 – 1.37 · xPts 1.29 – 1.45 · Group C
An even contest (1.26–1.37 xG) finished 1–1.
xG 1.05 – 1.05 · xPts 1.35 – 1.35 · Group C
Scotland edged a balanced game 0–1 (1.05–1.05 xG).
xG 1.18 – 1.36 · xPts 1.24 – 1.49 · Group D
Australia edged a balanced game 2–0 (1.18–1.36 xG).
More: all daily recaps · all results · standings & expected points · unluckiest teams · the xG visualizer
Luck is measured per match: actual points minus expected points (xPts), an independent Poisson model on public post-match xG. Figures may differ from other public xG sources. Directional, not official — especially early in the tournament.