How lucky or unlucky were Morocco in the World Cup 2026 group stage?

Group-stage totals: 7 points from 5.75 xPts (points luck +1.25) and 3 goals conceded from 2.99 xGA (defensive luck -0.01). The group-stage match-by-match xG table below shows how Morocco's group-stage luck built game by game.

Where did Morocco finish in Group C?

Morocco finished second in Group C with 7 points from 5.75 group-stage xPts (Δ +1.25).

What are Morocco's group, knockout and total xG numbers?

Morocco have 6.12 group-stage xGF and 2.99 group-stage xGA, plus 2.34 knockout xGF and 4.77 knockout xGA. Total: 8.46 xGF, 7.76 xGA.

What was Morocco's best xG match?

Morocco's highest-xGF match was 4–2 vs Haiti: 3.76 xG for and 1.22 xG against.

Morocco at the 2026 World Cup

Eliminated

Morocco are eliminated from the World Cup 2026 after Match 97 against France. France 2–0 Morocco; France 3.69–0.14 Morocco xG.

Morocco had 6 goals from 6.12 xG (finishing luck -0.12) and 7 points from 5.75 xPts (points luck +1.25) in the World Cup 2026 group stage.

Next for Morocco

Knockout result

Morocco vs France

Match 97 (Quarter-final) result page with score, match xG and advancement context.

Latest xG match

0–2 vs France

Knockout stage · xG 0.14-3.69 · eliminated

Group table

Group C finish

7 points from 5.75 group-stage xPts. Official group rank decides qualification.

Results

All scores with xG

Every finished match, scoreline, match xG and one-line verdict.

Quick answers

EliminatedAre Morocco eliminated from the World Cup 2026?: Morocco are eliminated from the World Cup 2026 after Match 97 against France. France 2–0 Morocco; France 3.69–0.14 Morocco xG.
Group-stage verdictHow lucky or unlucky were Morocco in the World Cup 2026 group stage?: Group-stage totals: 7 points from 5.75 xPts (points luck +1.25) and 3 goals conceded from 2.99 xGA (defensive luck -0.01). The group-stage match-by-match xG table below shows how Morocco's group-stage luck built game by game.
Group finishWhere did Morocco finish in Group C?: Morocco finished second in Group C with 7 points from 5.75 group-stage xPts (Δ +1.25).
xG by stageWhat are Morocco's group, knockout and total xG numbers?: Morocco have 6.12 group-stage xGF and 2.99 group-stage xGA, plus 2.34 knockout xGF and 4.77 knockout xGA. Total: 8.46 xGF, 7.76 xGA.
Best xG matchWhat was Morocco's best xG match?: Morocco's highest-xGF match was 4–2 vs Haiti: 3.76 xG for and 1.22 xG against.

xG by stage

Stage	Matches	Goals	xGF / xGA	xGD	xPts	Scope
Group stage	3	6–3	6.12 / 2.99	+3.13	5.76	Official group-table scope
Knockout	3	4–3	2.34 / 4.77	-2.43	3.63	Match xPts is chance context only
Total	6	10–6	8.46 / 7.76	+0.70	9.39	All completed xG-backed matches

Knockout status

EliminatedAre Morocco eliminated from the World Cup 2026?: Morocco are eliminated from the World Cup 2026 after Match 97 against France. France 2–0 Morocco; France 3.69–0.14 Morocco xG. Morocco vs France xG guide/result.

Knockout receipts

1-1 vs NetherlandsKnockout stage · xG 1.38-0.24 · match xPts 2.27 · advanced on penalties 3-2
3-0 vs CanadaKnockout stage · xG 0.82-0.84 · match xPts 1.31 · advanced
0-2 vs FranceKnockout stage · xG 0.14-3.69 · match xPts 0.05 · eliminated

Group-stage match receipts

1-1 vs BrazilxG 1.37-1.26 · xPts 1.45 · Δ -0.45
1-0 vs ScotlandxG 0.99-0.51 · xPts 1.74 · Δ +1.26
4-2 vs HaitixG 3.76-1.22 · xPts 2.57 · Δ +0.43

Featured story

Shootout story

Morocco advanced on penalties with a 1.38-0.24 xG edge

After 1–1 (2–3 pens), Morocco had the stronger chance profile and won the shootout; Netherlands were held to 0.24 xG.

Schedule context

Morocco are +3.13 xGD through 3 xG matches against opponents averaging 28.7/48 in the World Cup field and FIFA #45.0 globally; led xG against a mid-ranked opponent field.

Group	Group C · 2nd in group
Knockout status	Eliminated Out after Match 97 vs France
Published FIFA rank	FIFA #6 · 6th of 48 World Cup teams
xG vs schedule	Avg opponent field rank 28.7 / 48 · Avg opponent FIFA #45.0 · led xG against a mid-ranked opponent field
Group-stage played / record	3 · 2W 1D 0L
Group-stage points	7
Group-stage expected points (xPts)	5.75
Group-stage Δ (Points − xPts)	+1.25
Group-stage goals for / against	6 / 3
Group-stage xG for / against	6.12 / 2.99
Group-stage finishing (Goals − xG)	-0.12
Group-stage defensive luck (xGA − GA)	-0.01

Where Morocco sit on the total xG luck quadrant

Where Morocco sit across all xG-backed matches so far — finishing luck (goals − xG) across, defensive luck (xGA − goals conceded) up; the crosshair is zero, exactly as the chances suggest. On the balance of play they are riding their luck.

See Morocco on the full interactive luck quadrant →

Best and worst group-stage xG matches

Best xG performance

Morocco 4–2 Haiti

Morocco had their strongest chance profile against Haiti, winning the xG battle 3.76–1.22.

Most fortunate result

Morocco vs Scotland

Morocco took 3 points from 1.74 xPts (Δ +1.26).

Group-stage match by match

Group-stage match-by-match luck — points taken minus expected points (xPts) each game. Green = took more than the chances deserved, red = deserved more.

Date	Match	Score	Group xG	xPts	Δ
13 June	@ Brazil	1–1	1.37–1.26	1.45	-0.45
19 June	@ Scotland	1–0	0.99–0.51	1.74	+1.26
24 June	v Haiti	4–2	3.76–1.22	2.57	+0.43

Δ here is per group-stage match: the points Morocco took that game minus their expected points (xPts) for it. Negative = robbed, positive = fortunate.

Knockout match by match

Date	Match	Score	Knockout xG	Match xPts	Verdict
29 June	@ Netherlands	1–1	1.38–0.24	2.27	Morocco created far more (1.38–0.24 xG), and Morocco advanced on penalties after 1–1 (2–3 pens).
4 July	@ Canada	3–0	0.82–0.84	1.31	Morocco advanced from a balanced knockout game 0–3 (0.84–0.82 xG).
9 July	@ France	0–2	0.14–3.69	0.05	France advanced with an xG edge (3.69–0.14 xG), winning 2–0.

Knockout rows are not added to group points or group-stage xPts. The score decides advancement; match xPts is chance-profile context.

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