Canada 0–3 Morocco

Knockout xG verdict

Morocco advanced from a balanced knockout game 0–3 (0.86–0.78 xG).

Quick answers

ResultWho won Canada vs Morocco?
Morocco won 3–0 and advanced. The xG was Canada 0.86, Morocco 0.78.
Better xGWho had the better xG in Canada vs Morocco?
The xG was close to level (Canada 0.86, Morocco 0.78), so Morocco's 3–0 win was narrow rather than a major points-vs-xPts swing.
Fair resultWas Canada 0–3 Morocco fair by xG?
Mostly. The winner was not clearly ahead on xG, but the chance gap was small enough that this was a close result rather than a robbery.
Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
Morocco advanced, but Canada had the stronger chance profile (0.86–0.78 xG). Match xPts: Canada 1.39, Morocco 1.26. In knockouts, xPts is chance context only; the score decides who advances.
Ranking contextWas Canada 0–3 Morocco a published FIFA ranking upset?
No. Canada entered 27th of 48 in the World Cup field; Morocco entered 7th of 48. The higher-ranked side got the result and had the stronger xG profile, 0.78–0.86.
Score0–3
Expected goals (xG)Canada 0.86 · Morocco 0.78
Match xPtsCanada 1.39 · Morocco 1.26
StageKnockout stage
Published FIFA rankCanada FIFA #30 (27th of 48) · Morocco FIFA #7 (7th of 48)

Who had the better xG in Canada vs Morocco?

By expected goals, Canada vs Morocco was a near-even contest — Canada 0.86 xG, Morocco 0.78. Morocco took the points 3–0, but the underlying chances were close to level. Match xPts were Canada 1.39 and Morocco 1.26; in a knockout match, xPts is chance context only and the score decides advancement.

Was Canada lucky or unlucky?

Canada were wasteful in front of goal — just 0 from 0.86 xG, but punished at the back, shipping 3 from only 0.78 xGA faced. They were eliminated after a near-even xG game.

Was Morocco lucky or unlucky?

Morocco were clinical in front of goal — 3 goals from 0.78 xG, and well protected at the back, conceding 0 from 0.86 xGA faced. They advanced from a near-even xG game.

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