xG 0.84 – 0.82 · xPts 1.34 – 1.31 · Knockout stage
Morocco advanced from a balanced knockout game 0–3 (0.84–0.82 xG).
World Cup 2026 xG recap: 4 July
Latest available post-match xG · updated 1 October 2026, 02:21 ET · 2 matches, 4 goals, 3.24 total xG. Not live.
The 4 July results ran true to the chances — few surprises, little theft. Every match below with its xG.
Every 4 July match
xG 0.13 – 1.45 · xPts 0.34 – 2.41 · Knockout stage
France advanced with an xG edge (1.45–0.13 xG), winning 0–1.
More: all daily recaps · all results · standings & expected points · unluckiest teams · the xG visualizer
Luck is measured per match: actual points minus expected points (xPts), an independent Poisson model on public post-match xG. Figures may differ from other public xG sources. Directional, not official — especially early in the tournament.