xG 0.86 – 0.78 · xPts 1.39 – 1.26 · Knockout stage
Morocco advanced from a balanced knockout game 0–3 (0.86–0.78 xG).
Latest available post-match xG · updated 4 July 2026, 17:28 ET · 1 match, 3 goals, 1.64 total xG. Not live.
The only World Cup 2026 game on 4 July was Canada 0–3 Morocco. Morocco advanced from a balanced knockout game 0–3 (0.86–0.78 xG).
Morocco advanced from a balanced knockout game 0–3 (0.86–0.78 xG).
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Luck is measured per match: actual points minus expected points (xPts), an independent Poisson model on public post-match xG. Figures may differ from other public xG sources. Directional, not official — especially early in the tournament.