xG 0.87 – 1.36 · xPts 1.00 – 1.72 · Knockout stage
Egypt advanced on penalties after a balanced knockout game 1–1 (2–4 pens) (0.87–1.36 xG).
Latest available post-match xG · updated 3 July 2026, 18:22 ET · 1 match, 2 goals, 2.23 total xG. Not live.
The only World Cup 2026 game on 3 July was Australia 1–1 (2–4 pens) Egypt. Egypt advanced on penalties after a balanced knockout game 1–1 (2–4 pens) (0.87–1.36 xG).
Egypt advanced on penalties after a balanced knockout game 1–1 (2–4 pens) (0.87–1.36 xG).
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Luck is measured per match: actual points minus expected points (xPts), an independent Poisson model on public post-match xG. Figures may differ from other public xG sources. Directional, not official — especially early in the tournament.