xG 0.84 – 1.32 · xPts 1.00 – 1.72 · Knockout stage
Egypt advanced on penalties after a balanced knockout game 1–1 (2–4 pens) (0.84–1.32 xG).
World Cup 2026 xG recap: 3 July
Latest available post-match xG · updated 18 August 2026, 13:37 ET · 3 matches, 8 goals, 7.20 total xG. Not live.
3 matches on 3 July, read through expected goals — the day's robberies, smash-and-grabs and standout performances below.
xG stories of the day
Most dominant display
Argentina controlled the chances against Cape Verde, 2.26–0.47 xG — a 3–2 the balance of play backs up. xG breakdown →
Every 3 July match
xG 2.26 – 0.47 · xPts 2.50 – 0.34 · Knockout stage
Argentina advanced with an xG edge (2.26–0.47 xG), winning 3–2.
xG 2.04 – 0.27 · xPts 2.56 – 0.28 · Knockout stage
Colombia advanced with an xG edge (2.04–0.27 xG), winning 1–0.
More: all daily recaps · all results · standings & expected points · unluckiest teams · the xG visualizer
Luck is measured per match: actual points minus expected points (xPts), an independent Poisson model on public post-match xG. Figures may differ from other public xG sources. Directional, not official — especially early in the tournament.