xG 2.80 – 0.32 · xPts 2.74 – 0.17 · Knockout stage
Spain advanced with an xG edge (2.80–0.32 xG), winning 3–0.
Latest available post-match xG · updated 2 July 2026, 19:03 ET · 1 match, 3 goals, 3.12 total xG. Not live.
The only World Cup 2026 game on 2 July was Spain 3–0 Austria. Spain advanced with an xG edge (2.80–0.32 xG), winning 3–0.
Spain advanced with an xG edge (2.80–0.32 xG), winning 3–0.
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Luck is measured per match: actual points minus expected points (xPts), an independent Poisson model on public post-match xG. Figures may differ from other public xG sources. Directional, not official — especially early in the tournament.