Portugal 2–1 Croatia
Portugal advanced with an xG edge (2.18–1.32 xG), winning 2–1.
Quick answers
- ResultWho won Portugal vs Croatia?
- Portugal won 2–1 and advanced. The xG was Portugal 2.18, Croatia 1.32.
- Better xGWho had the better xG in Portugal vs Croatia?
- Portugal had the better xG profile, creating the better chances 2.18–1.32 and winning 2–1.
- Fair resultWas Portugal 2–1 Croatia fair by xG?
- Yes. Portugal won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
- Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
- Portugal advanced with the stronger chance profile (2.18–1.32 xG). Match xPts: Portugal 1.91, Croatia 0.88. In knockouts, xPts supports the verdict rather than changing the bracket.
| Score | 2–1 |
|---|---|
| Expected goals (xG) | Portugal 2.18 · Croatia 1.32 |
| Match xPts | Portugal 1.91 · Croatia 0.88 |
| Stage | Knockout stage |
| Published FIFA rank | Portugal FIFA #5 (5th of 48) · Croatia FIFA #11 (11th of 48) |
Who had the better xG in Portugal vs Croatia?
Portugal created the better chances — 2.18–1.32 xG, an edge of 0.86. And Portugal duly won 2–1, the result matching the run of chances. Match xPts were Portugal 1.91 and Croatia 0.88; in a knockout match, xPts is chance context only and the score decides advancement.
Was Portugal lucky or unlucky?
Portugal were about on script in attack — 2 from 2.18 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (1 from 1.32 xGA). They advanced with the stronger chance profile.
Was Croatia lucky or unlucky?
Croatia were about on script in attack — 1 from 1.32 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (2 from 2.18 xGA). Their elimination matched the weaker chance profile.
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