Who won Portugal vs Croatia at the World Cup 2026?

Portugal beat Croatia in Match 83 and advanced from the Round of 32. The score was Portugal 2–1 Croatia; the xG was Portugal 2.20 · Croatia 1.34.

What was the xG in Portugal vs Croatia?

Portugal 2.20 · Croatia 1.34. Match xPts, used here as chance context rather than bracket points, were Portugal 1.91 and Croatia 0.89.

World Cup 2026 Round of 32 · Match 83 · latest available post-match xG updated 18 August 2026, 13:37 ET

Portugal 2–1 Croatia xG: World Cup 2026 Round of 32 result

Match 83 has a post-match xG result: Portugal 2–1 Croatia. The page now leads with actual advancement and the knockout xG verdict; match xPts is supporting chance context, with the original group-stage form kept below.

Round of 32 result

Portugal advanced from Match 83

Portugal advanced with an xG edge (2.20–1.34 xG), winning 2–1.

Score: 2–1
xG: 2.20–1.34
Match xPts: 1.91–0.89

Full match page: Portugal 2–1 Croatia

xG verdict

Did Portugal deserve to beat Croatia by xG?

Yes. Portugal advanced 2–1 and also led the match xG 2.20–1.34. On chance quality, the win was backed by the xGF profile.

Quick answers

Who won Portugal vs Croatia at the World Cup 2026?: Portugal beat Croatia in Match 83 and advanced from the Round of 32. The score was Portugal 2–1 Croatia; the xG was Portugal 2.20 · Croatia 1.34.
Did Portugal deserve to beat Croatia by xG?: Yes. Portugal advanced 2–1 and also led the match xG 2.20–1.34. On chance quality, the win was backed by the xGF profile.
What was the xG in Portugal vs Croatia?: Portugal 2.20 · Croatia 1.34. Match xPts, used here as chance context rather than bracket points, were Portugal 1.91 and Croatia 0.89.
Was Portugal 2–1 Croatia fair by xG?: Portugal advanced with an xG edge (2.20–1.34 xG), winning 2–1.

Group-stage xG form

Match 83

Portugal

second in Group K

Pts: 5
xPts: 4.72
Δ: +0.28
xGF: 4.19
xGA: 2.81
xGD: +1.38

Match 83

Croatia

second in Group L

Pts: 6
xPts: 3.23
Δ: +2.77
xGF: 2.07
xGA: 1.19
xGD: +0.88

How they got here

Portugal reached this slot as second in Group K with 5 pts, 4.72 xPts, xGF 4.19, xGA 2.81, Δ +0.28. Croatia reached this slot as second in Group L with 6 pts, 3.23 xPts, xGF 2.07, xGA 1.19, Δ +2.77.

The knockout score decides advancement. The xG numbers describe the match chance profile and the group-stage form each side brought into the tie; match xPts is context only.

More context: World Cup 2026 bracket · results and xG · Portugal team page · Croatia team page.