How lucky or unlucky were Austria in the World Cup 2026 group stage?

Group-stage totals: 4 points from 3.87 xPts (points luck +0.13) and 6 goals conceded from 4.49 xGA (defensive luck -1.51). The group-stage match-by-match xG table below shows how Austria's group-stage luck built game by game.

Where did Austria finish in Group J?

Austria finished second in Group J with 4 points from 3.87 group-stage xPts (Δ +0.13).

What are Austria's group, knockout and total xG numbers?

Austria have 3.71 group-stage xGF and 4.49 group-stage xGA, plus 0.32 knockout xGF and 2.80 knockout xGA. Total: 4.03 xGF, 7.29 xGA.

What was Austria's best xG match?

Austria's highest-xGF match was 3–1 vs Jordan: 1.69 xG for and 0.46 xG against.

Austria at the 2026 World Cup

Eliminated

Austria are eliminated from the World Cup 2026 after Match 84 against Spain. Spain 3–0 Austria; Spain 2.80–0.32 Austria xG.

Austria have 6 goals from 3.71 xG, a clear clinical-finishing group-stage read.

Next for Austria

Knockout result

Austria vs Spain

Match 84 (Round of 32) result page with score, match xG and advancement context.

Latest xG match

0–3 vs Spain

Knockout stage · xG 0.32-2.80 · eliminated

Group table

Group J finish

4 points from 3.87 group-stage xPts. Official group rank decides qualification.

Results

All scores with xG

Every finished match, scoreline, match xG and one-line verdict.

Quick answers

EliminatedAre Austria eliminated from the World Cup 2026?: Austria are eliminated from the World Cup 2026 after Match 84 against Spain. Spain 3–0 Austria; Spain 2.80–0.32 Austria xG.
Clinical finishingHow lucky or unlucky were Austria in the World Cup 2026 group stage?: Group-stage totals: 4 points from 3.87 xPts (points luck +0.13) and 6 goals conceded from 4.49 xGA (defensive luck -1.51). The group-stage match-by-match xG table below shows how Austria's group-stage luck built game by game.
Group finishWhere did Austria finish in Group J?: Austria finished second in Group J with 4 points from 3.87 group-stage xPts (Δ +0.13).
xG by stageWhat are Austria's group, knockout and total xG numbers?: Austria have 3.71 group-stage xGF and 4.49 group-stage xGA, plus 0.32 knockout xGF and 2.80 knockout xGA. Total: 4.03 xGF, 7.29 xGA.
Best xG matchWhat was Austria's best xG match?: Austria's highest-xGF match was 3–1 vs Jordan: 1.69 xG for and 0.46 xG against.

xG by stage

Stage	Matches	Goals	xGF / xGA	xGD	xPts	Scope
Group stage	3	6–6	3.71 / 4.49	-0.78	3.88	Official group-table scope
Knockout	1	0–3	0.32 / 2.80	-2.48	0.17	Match xPts is chance context only
Total	4	6–9	4.03 / 7.29	-3.26	4.05	All completed xG-backed matches

Knockout status

EliminatedAre Austria eliminated from the World Cup 2026?: Austria are eliminated from the World Cup 2026 after Match 84 against Spain. Spain 3–0 Austria; Spain 2.80–0.32 Austria xG. Austria vs Spain xG guide/result.

Knockout receipts

0-3 vs SpainKnockout stage · xG 0.32-2.80 · match xPts 0.17 · eliminated

Group-stage match receipts

3-1 vs JordanxG 1.69-0.46 · xPts 2.26 · Δ +0.74
0-2 vs ArgentinaxG 0.53-2.36 · xPts 0.35 · Δ -0.35
3-3 vs AlgeriaxG 1.49-1.67 · xPts 1.27 · Δ -0.27

Schedule context

Austria are -0.78 xGD through 3 xG matches against opponents averaging 24.3/48 in the World Cup field and FIFA #34.7 globally; trailed xG against a mid-ranked opponent field.

Group	Group J · 2nd in group
Knockout status	Eliminated Out after Match 84 vs Spain
Published FIFA rank	FIFA #23 · 21st of 48 World Cup teams
xG vs schedule	Avg opponent field rank 24.3 / 48 · Avg opponent FIFA #34.7 · trailed xG against a mid-ranked opponent field
Group-stage played / record	3 · 1W 1D 1L
Group-stage points	4
Group-stage expected points (xPts)	3.87
Group-stage Δ (Points − xPts)	+0.13
Group-stage goals for / against	6 / 6
Group-stage xG for / against	3.71 / 4.49
Group-stage finishing (Goals − xG)	+2.29
Group-stage defensive luck (xGA − GA)	-1.51

Where Austria sit on the total xG luck quadrant

Where Austria sit across all xG-backed matches so far — finishing luck (goals − xG) across, defensive luck (xGA − goals conceded) up; the crosshair is zero, exactly as the chances suggest. On the balance of play they are clinical but leaky.

See Austria on the full interactive luck quadrant →

Best and worst group-stage xG matches

Best xG performance

Austria 3–1 Jordan

Austria had their strongest chance profile against Jordan, winning the xG battle 1.69–0.46.

Most fortunate result

Austria vs Jordan

Austria took 3 points from 2.26 xPts (Δ +0.74).

Group-stage match by match

Group-stage match-by-match luck — points taken minus expected points (xPts) each game. Green = took more than the chances deserved, red = deserved more.

Date	Match	Score	Group xG	xPts	Δ
16 June	v Jordan	3–1	1.69–0.46	2.26	+0.74
22 June	@ Argentina	0–2	0.53–2.36	0.35	-0.35
27 June	@ Algeria	3–3	1.49–1.67	1.27	-0.27

Δ here is per group-stage match: the points Austria took that game minus their expected points (xPts) for it. Negative = robbed, positive = fortunate.

Knockout match by match

Date	Match	Score	Knockout xG	Match xPts	Verdict
2 July	@ Spain	0–3	0.32–2.80	0.17	Spain advanced with an xG edge (2.80–0.32 xG), winning 3–0.

Knockout rows are not added to group points or group-stage xPts. The score decides advancement; match xPts is chance-profile context.

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