Austria 3–1 Jordan

The xG verdict

Austria backed up their xG edge (1.69–0.46 xG), winning 3–1.

Quick answers

ResultWho won Austria vs Jordan?
Austria won 3–1. The xG was Austria 1.69, Jordan 0.46.
Better xGWho had the better xG in Austria vs Jordan?
Austria had the better xG profile, creating the better chances 1.69–0.46 and winning 3–1.
Fair resultWas Austria 3–1 Jordan fair by xG?
Yes. Austria won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
Austria turned a clear xG edge (1.69–0.46) into the full three points, finishing with 2.26 xPts (Δ +0.74).
Ranking contextWas Austria 3–1 Jordan a published FIFA ranking upset?
No. Jordan entered 42nd of 48 in the World Cup field; Austria entered 22nd of 48. The higher-ranked side got the result and had the stronger xG profile, 1.69–0.46.
Score3–1
Expected goals (xG)Austria 1.69 · Jordan 0.46
Expected points (xPts)Austria 2.26 · Jordan 0.51
StageGroup J
Published FIFA rankAustria FIFA #24 (22nd of 48) · Jordan FIFA #63 (42nd of 48)

Who had the better xG in Austria vs Jordan?

Austria created the better chances — 1.69–0.46 xG, an edge of 1.23. And Austria duly won 3–1, the result matching the run of chances. In expected points, Austria earned 2.26 and Jordan 0.51 from this game; the actual return was 3 and 0 (Δ +0.74 for Austria, -0.51 for Jordan).

Was Austria lucky or unlucky?

Austria were clinical in front of goal — 3 goals from 1.69 xG, but punished at the back, shipping 1 from only 0.46 xGA faced. A result backed by the stronger chance profile on the day (Δ +0.74).

Was Jordan lucky or unlucky?

Jordan were clinical in front of goal — 1 goal from 0.46 xG, but punished at the back, shipping 3 from only 1.69 xGA faced. On balance their result return trailed the chances (Δ -0.51).

What Austria 3–1 Jordan means for Group J

Austria sit 2nd in Group J on 4 points (3.87 xPts, Δ +0.13); Jordan sit 4th on 0 points (1.62 xPts, Δ -1.62). See the full Group J table →

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