Spain 3–0 Austria

Knockout xG verdict

Spain advanced with an xG edge (2.80–0.32 xG), winning 3–0.

Quick answers

ResultWho won Spain vs Austria?
Spain won 3–0 and advanced. The xG was Spain 2.80, Austria 0.32.
Better xGWho had the better xG in Spain vs Austria?
Spain had the better xG profile, creating the better chances 2.80–0.32 and winning 3–0.
Fair resultWas Spain 3–0 Austria fair by xG?
Yes. Spain won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
Spain advanced with the stronger chance profile (2.80–0.32 xG). Match xPts: Spain 2.74, Austria 0.17. In knockouts, xPts supports the verdict rather than changing the bracket.
Ranking contextWas Spain 3–0 Austria a published FIFA ranking upset?
No. Austria entered 22nd of 48 in the World Cup field; Spain entered 2nd of 48. The higher-ranked side got the result and had the stronger xG profile, 2.80–0.32.
Score3–0
Expected goals (xG)Spain 2.80 · Austria 0.32
Match xPtsSpain 2.74 · Austria 0.17
StageKnockout stage
Published FIFA rankSpain FIFA #2 (2nd of 48) · Austria FIFA #24 (22nd of 48)

Who had the better xG in Spain vs Austria?

Spain created the better chances — 2.80–0.32 xG, an edge of 2.48. And Spain duly won 3–0, the result matching the run of chances. Match xPts were Spain 2.74 and Austria 0.17; in a knockout match, xPts is chance context only and the score decides advancement.

Was Spain lucky or unlucky?

Spain were about on script in attack — 3 from 2.80 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (0 from 0.32 xGA). They advanced with the stronger chance profile.

Was Austria lucky or unlucky?

Austria were about on script in attack — 0 from 0.32 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (3 from 2.80 xGA). Their elimination matched the weaker chance profile.

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