How lucky or unlucky were Ghana in the World Cup 2026 group stage?

Group-stage totals: 4 points from 3.66 xPts (points luck +0.34) and 2 goals conceded from 2.51 xGA (defensive luck +0.51). The group-stage match-by-match xG table below shows how Ghana's group-stage luck built game by game.

Where did Ghana finish in Group L?

Ghana finished third in Group L with 4 points from 3.66 group-stage xPts (Δ +0.34).

What are Ghana's group, knockout and total xG numbers?

Ghana have 2.06 group-stage xGF and 2.51 group-stage xGA, plus 0.27 knockout xGF and 2.04 knockout xGA. Total: 2.33 xGF, 4.55 xGA.

What was Ghana's best xG match?

Ghana's highest-xGF match was 1–0 vs Panama: 1.25 xG for and 0.73 xG against.

Ghana at the 2026 World Cup

Eliminated

Ghana are eliminated from the World Cup 2026 after Match 87 against Colombia. Colombia 1–0 Ghana; Colombia 2.04–0.27 Ghana xG.

Ghana had 2 goals from 2.06 xG (finishing luck -0.06) and 4 points from 3.66 xPts (points luck +0.34) in the World Cup 2026 group stage.

Next for Ghana

Knockout result

Ghana vs Colombia

Match 87 (Round of 32) result page with score, match xG and advancement context.

Latest xG match

0–1 vs Colombia

Knockout stage · xG 0.27-2.04 · eliminated

Group table

Group L finish

4 points from 3.66 group-stage xPts. Official group rank decides qualification.

Results

All scores with xG

Every finished match, scoreline, match xG and one-line verdict.

Quick answers

EliminatedAre Ghana eliminated from the World Cup 2026?: Ghana are eliminated from the World Cup 2026 after Match 87 against Colombia. Colombia 1–0 Ghana; Colombia 2.04–0.27 Ghana xG.
Group-stage verdictHow lucky or unlucky were Ghana in the World Cup 2026 group stage?: Group-stage totals: 4 points from 3.66 xPts (points luck +0.34) and 2 goals conceded from 2.51 xGA (defensive luck +0.51). The group-stage match-by-match xG table below shows how Ghana's group-stage luck built game by game.
Group finishWhere did Ghana finish in Group L?: Ghana finished third in Group L with 4 points from 3.66 group-stage xPts (Δ +0.34).
xG by stageWhat are Ghana's group, knockout and total xG numbers?: Ghana have 2.06 group-stage xGF and 2.51 group-stage xGA, plus 0.27 knockout xGF and 2.04 knockout xGA. Total: 2.33 xGF, 4.55 xGA.
Best xG matchWhat was Ghana's best xG match?: Ghana's highest-xGF match was 1–0 vs Panama: 1.25 xG for and 0.73 xG against.

xG by stage

Stage	Matches	Goals	xGF / xGA	xGD	xPts	Scope
Group stage	3	2–2	2.06 / 2.51	-0.45	3.65	Official group-table scope
Knockout	1	0–1	0.27 / 2.04	-1.77	0.28	Match xPts is chance context only
Total	4	2–3	2.33 / 4.55	-2.22	3.93	All completed xG-backed matches

Knockout status

EliminatedAre Ghana eliminated from the World Cup 2026?: Ghana are eliminated from the World Cup 2026 after Match 87 against Colombia. Colombia 1–0 Ghana; Colombia 2.04–0.27 Ghana xG. Ghana vs Colombia xG guide/result.

Knockout receipts

0-1 vs ColombiaKnockout stage · xG 0.27-2.04 · match xPts 0.28 · eliminated

Group-stage match receipts

1-0 vs PanamaxG 1.25-0.73 · xPts 1.76 · Δ +1.24
0-0 vs EnglandxG 0.17-1.36 · xPts 0.40 · Δ +0.60
1-2 vs CroatiaxG 0.64-0.42 · xPts 1.49 · Δ -1.49

Featured story

Group L story

Croatia finished second despite a negative xG profile

Croatia took 6 points from 3.47 xPts and a 2.77-4.39 xG profile. The swing was beating Ghana despite Ghana edging that match 0.64-0.42 on xG.

Schedule context

Ghana are -0.45 xGD through 3 xG matches against opponents averaging 17.0/48 in the World Cup field and FIFA #20.3 globally; level on xG against a strong opponent field.

Group	Group L · 3rd in group
Knockout status	Eliminated Out after Match 87 vs Colombia
Published FIFA rank	FIFA #65 · 44th of 48 World Cup teams
xG vs schedule	Avg opponent field rank 17.0 / 48 · Avg opponent FIFA #20.3 · level on xG against a strong opponent field
Group-stage played / record	3 · 1W 1D 1L
Group-stage points	4
Group-stage expected points (xPts)	3.66
Group-stage Δ (Points − xPts)	+0.34
Group-stage goals for / against	2 / 2
Group-stage xG for / against	2.06 / 2.51
Group-stage finishing (Goals − xG)	-0.06
Group-stage defensive luck (xGA − GA)	+0.51

Where Ghana sit on the total xG luck quadrant

Where Ghana sit across all xG-backed matches so far — finishing luck (goals − xG) across, defensive luck (xGA − goals conceded) up; the crosshair is zero, exactly as the chances suggest. On the balance of play they are wasteful in attack but solid at the back.

See Ghana on the full interactive luck quadrant →

Best and worst group-stage xG matches

Best xG performance

Ghana 1–0 Panama

Ghana had their strongest chance profile against Panama, winning the xG battle 1.25–0.73.

Most unlucky result

Ghana vs Croatia

Ghana took 0 points from 1.49 xPts (Δ -1.49).

Most fortunate result

Ghana vs Panama

Ghana took 3 points from 1.76 xPts (Δ +1.24).

Group-stage match by match

Group-stage match-by-match luck — points taken minus expected points (xPts) each game. Green = took more than the chances deserved, red = deserved more.

Date	Match	Score	Group xG	xPts	Δ
17 June	v Panama	1–0	1.25–0.73	1.76	+1.24
23 June	@ England	0–0	0.17–1.36	0.40	+0.60
27 June	@ Croatia	1–2	0.64–0.42	1.49	-1.49

Δ here is per group-stage match: the points Ghana took that game minus their expected points (xPts) for it. Negative = robbed, positive = fortunate.

Knockout match by match

Date	Match	Score	Knockout xG	Match xPts	Verdict
3 July	@ Colombia	0–1	0.27–2.04	0.28	Colombia advanced with an xG edge (2.04–0.27 xG), winning 1–0.

Knockout rows are not added to group points or group-stage xPts. The score decides advancement; match xPts is chance-profile context.

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