Ghana 1–0 Panama

The xG verdict

Ghana edged a balanced game 1–0 (1.25–0.73 xG).

Quick answers

ResultWho won Ghana vs Panama?
Ghana won 1–0. The xG was Ghana 1.25, Panama 0.73.
Better xGWho had the better xG in Ghana vs Panama?
Ghana had the better xG profile, creating the better chances 1.25–0.73 and winning 1–0.
Fair resultWas Ghana 1–0 Panama fair by xG?
Yes. Ghana won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
Ghana turned a clear xG edge (1.25–0.73) into the full three points, finishing with 1.76 xPts (Δ +1.24).
Ranking contextWas Ghana 1–0 Panama a published FIFA ranking upset?
Yes — and it was backed by xG. Ghana entered 45th of 48 in the World Cup field; Panama entered 30th of 48. Ghana won with the scoreline Ghana 1–0 Panama and led the chance quality 1.25–0.73 xG.
Score1–0
Expected goals (xG)Ghana 1.25 · Panama 0.73
Expected points (xPts)Ghana 1.76 · Panama 0.95
StageGroup L
Published FIFA rankGhana FIFA #73 (45th of 48) · Panama FIFA #34 (30th of 48)

Who had the better xG in Ghana vs Panama?

Ghana created the better chances — 1.25–0.73 xG, an edge of 0.52. And Ghana duly won 1–0, the result matching the run of chances. In expected points, Ghana earned 1.76 and Panama 0.95 from this game; the actual return was 3 and 0 (Δ +1.24 for Ghana, -0.95 for Panama).

Was Ghana lucky or unlucky?

Ghana were about on script in attack — 1 from 1.25 xG, and well protected at the back, conceding 0 from 0.73 xGA faced. A result backed by the stronger chance profile on the day (Δ +1.24).

Was Panama lucky or unlucky?

Panama were wasteful in front of goal — just 0 from 0.73 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (1 from 1.25 xGA). On balance their result return trailed the chances (Δ -0.95).

What Ghana 1–0 Panama means for Group L

Ghana sit 3rd in Group L on 4 points (3.66 xPts, Δ +0.34); Panama sit 4th on 0 points (2.27 xPts, Δ -2.27). See the full Group L table →

17 June xG recap · Ghana · Panama · xG robberies · stat leaders · ← All results