How lucky or unlucky were Panama in the World Cup 2026 group stage?

Group-stage totals: 0 points from 2.27 xPts (points luck -2.27) and 4 goals conceded from 4.46 xGA (defensive luck +0.46). The group-stage match-by-match xG table below shows how Panama's group-stage luck built game by game.

What are Panama's group, knockout and total xG numbers?

Panama have 1.94 group-stage xGF and 4.46 group-stage xGA. No knockout xG is recorded for them yet.

What was Panama's best xG match?

Panama's highest-xGF match was 0–1 vs Ghana: 0.73 xG for and 1.25 xG against.

Panama at the 2026 World Cup

Group exit

Panama did not qualify for the World Cup 2026 knockout stage. Panama finished fourth in Group L with 0 points from 2.27 group-stage xPts (Δ -2.27).

Panama have 0 points from 2.27 xPts, a clear group-stage case of results trailing the chances.

Next for Panama

Latest xG match

0–2 vs England

Group L · xG 0.66-1.56

Group table

Group L finish

0 points from 2.27 group-stage xPts. Official group rank decides qualification.

Results

All scores with xG

Every finished match, scoreline, match xG and one-line verdict.

Quick answers

Group exitDid Panama qualify for the World Cup 2026 knockouts?: Panama did not qualify for the World Cup 2026 knockout stage. Panama finished fourth in Group L with 0 points from 2.27 group-stage xPts (Δ -2.27).
Deserved betterHow lucky or unlucky were Panama in the World Cup 2026 group stage?: Group-stage totals: 0 points from 2.27 xPts (points luck -2.27) and 4 goals conceded from 4.46 xGA (defensive luck +0.46). The group-stage match-by-match xG table below shows how Panama's group-stage luck built game by game.
Group finishWhere did Panama finish in Group L?: Panama finished fourth in Group L with 0 points from 2.27 group-stage xPts (Δ -2.27).
xG by stageWhat are Panama's group, knockout and total xG numbers?: Panama have 1.94 group-stage xGF and 4.46 group-stage xGA. No knockout xG is recorded for them yet.
Best xG matchWhat was Panama's best xG match?: Panama's highest-xGF match was 0–1 vs Ghana: 0.73 xG for and 1.25 xG against.

xG by stage

Stage	Matches	Goals	xGF / xGA	xGD	xPts	Scope
Group stage	3	0–4	1.94 / 4.46	-2.52	2.27	Official group-table scope
Total	3	0–4	1.94 / 4.46	-2.52	2.27	All completed xG-backed matches

Group-stage match receipts

0-1 vs GhanaxG 0.73-1.25 · xPts 0.95 · Δ -0.95
0-1 vs CroatiaxG 0.55-1.65 · xPts 0.60 · Δ -0.60
0-2 vs EnglandxG 0.66-1.56 · xPts 0.72 · Δ -0.72

Schedule context

Panama are -2.52 xGD through 3 xG matches against opponents averaging 20.3/48 in the World Cup field and FIFA #27.3 globally; trailed xG against a mid-ranked opponent field.

Group	Group L · 4th in group
Knockout status	Group exit Group-stage exit
Published FIFA rank	FIFA #44 · 34th of 48 World Cup teams
xG vs schedule	Avg opponent field rank 20.3 / 48 · Avg opponent FIFA #27.3 · trailed xG against a mid-ranked opponent field
Group-stage played / record	3 · 0W 0D 3L
Group-stage points	0
Group-stage expected points (xPts)	2.27
Group-stage Δ (Points − xPts)	-2.27
Group-stage goals for / against	0 / 4
Group-stage xG for / against	1.94 / 4.46
Group-stage finishing (Goals − xG)	-1.94
Group-stage defensive luck (xGA − GA)	+0.46

Where Panama sit on the total xG luck quadrant

Where Panama sit across all xG-backed matches so far — finishing luck (goals − xG) across, defensive luck (xGA − goals conceded) up; the crosshair is zero, exactly as the chances suggest. On the balance of play they are wasteful in attack but solid at the back.

See Panama on the full interactive luck quadrant →

Best and worst group-stage xG matches

Best xG performance

Panama 0–1 Ghana

Panama had their strongest chance profile against Ghana, winning the xG battle 0.73–1.25.

Most unlucky result

Panama vs Ghana

Panama took 0 points from 0.95 xPts (Δ -0.95).

Group-stage match by match

Group-stage match-by-match luck — points taken minus expected points (xPts) each game. Green = took more than the chances deserved, red = deserved more.

Date	Match	Score	Group xG	xPts	Δ
17 June	@ Ghana	0–1	0.73–1.25	0.95	-0.95
23 June	v Croatia	0–1	0.55–1.65	0.60	-0.60
27 June	v England	0–2	0.66–1.56	0.72	-0.72

Δ here is per group-stage match: the points Panama took that game minus their expected points (xPts) for it. Negative = robbed, positive = fortunate.

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