Panama 0–2 England

The xG verdict

England backed up their xG edge (1.56–0.66 xG), winning 0–2.

Quick answers

ResultWho won Panama vs England?
England won 2–0. The xG was Panama 0.66, England 1.56.
Better xGWho had the better xG in Panama vs England?
England had the better xG profile, creating the better chances 1.56–0.66 and winning 2–0.
Fair resultWas Panama 0–2 England fair by xG?
Yes. England won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
England turned a clear xG edge (1.56–0.66) into the full three points, finishing with 2.03 xPts (Δ +0.97).
Ranking contextWas Panama 0–2 England a published FIFA ranking upset?
No. Panama entered 30th of 48 in the World Cup field; England entered 4th of 48. The higher-ranked side got the result and had the stronger xG profile, 1.56–0.66.
Score0–2
Expected goals (xG)Panama 0.66 · England 1.56
Expected points (xPts)Panama 0.72 · England 2.03
StageGroup L
Published FIFA rankPanama FIFA #34 (30th of 48) · England FIFA #4 (4th of 48)

Who had the better xG in Panama vs England?

England created the better chances — 1.56–0.66 xG, an edge of 0.90. And England duly won 2–0, the result matching the run of chances. In expected points, Panama earned 0.72 and England 2.03 from this game; the actual return was 0 and 3 (Δ -0.72 for Panama, +0.97 for England).

Was Panama lucky or unlucky?

Panama were wasteful in front of goal — just 0 from 0.66 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (2 from 1.56 xGA). On balance their result return trailed the chances (Δ -0.72).

Was England lucky or unlucky?

England were about on script in attack — 2 from 1.56 xG, and well protected at the back, conceding 0 from 0.66 xGA faced. A result backed by the stronger chance profile on the day (Δ +0.97).

What Panama 0–2 England means for Group L

Panama sit 4th in Group L on 0 points (2.27 xPts, Δ -2.27); England sit 1st on 7 points (7.01 xPts, Δ -0.01). See the full Group L table →

27 June xG recap · Panama · England · xG robberies · stat leaders · ← All results