Panama 0–1 Croatia
Croatia backed up their xG edge (1.65–0.55 xG), winning 0–1.
Quick answers
- ResultWho won Panama vs Croatia?
- Croatia won 1–0. The xG was Panama 0.55, Croatia 1.65.
- Better xGWho had the better xG in Panama vs Croatia?
- Croatia had the better xG profile, creating the better chances 1.65–0.55 and winning 1–0.
- Fair resultWas Panama 0–1 Croatia fair by xG?
- Yes. Croatia won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
- Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
- Croatia turned a clear xG edge (1.65–0.55) into the full three points, finishing with 2.17 xPts (Δ +0.83).
- Ranking contextWas Panama 0–1 Croatia a published FIFA ranking upset?
- No. Panama entered 30th of 48 in the World Cup field; Croatia entered 11th of 48. The higher-ranked side got the result and had the stronger xG profile, 1.65–0.55.
| Score | 0–1 |
|---|---|
| Expected goals (xG) | Panama 0.55 · Croatia 1.65 |
| Expected points (xPts) | Panama 0.60 · Croatia 2.17 |
| Stage | Group L |
| Published FIFA rank | Panama FIFA #34 (30th of 48) · Croatia FIFA #11 (11th of 48) |
Who had the better xG in Panama vs Croatia?
Croatia created the better chances — 1.65–0.55 xG, an edge of 1.10. And Croatia duly won 1–0, the result matching the run of chances. In expected points, Panama earned 0.60 and Croatia 2.17 from this game; the actual return was 0 and 3 (Δ -0.60 for Panama, +0.83 for Croatia).
Was Panama lucky or unlucky?
Panama were wasteful in front of goal — just 0 from 0.55 xG, and well protected at the back, conceding 1 from 1.65 xGA faced. On balance their result return trailed the chances (Δ -0.60).
Was Croatia lucky or unlucky?
Croatia were wasteful in front of goal — just 1 from 1.65 xG, and well protected at the back, conceding 0 from 0.55 xGA faced. A result backed by the stronger chance profile on the day (Δ +0.83).
What Panama 0–1 Croatia means for Group L
Panama sit 4th in Group L on 0 points (2.27 xPts, Δ -2.27); Croatia sit 2nd on 6 points (3.47 xPts, Δ +2.53). See the full Group L table →
23 June xG recap · Panama · Croatia · xG robberies · stat leaders · ← All results