How lucky or unlucky were Egypt in the World Cup 2026 group stage?

Group-stage totals: 5 points from 3.63 xPts (points luck +1.37) and 3 goals conceded from 4.56 xGA (defensive luck +1.56). The group-stage match-by-match xG table below shows how Egypt's group-stage luck built game by game.

Where did Egypt finish in Group G?

Egypt finished second in Group G with 5 points from 3.63 group-stage xPts (Δ +1.37).

What are Egypt's group, knockout and total xG numbers?

Egypt have 3.79 group-stage xGF and 4.56 group-stage xGA, plus 2.21 knockout xGF and 3.68 knockout xGA. Total: 6.00 xGF, 8.24 xGA.

What was Egypt's best xG match?

Egypt's highest-xGF match was 3–1 vs New Zealand: 1.87 xG for and 1.24 xG against.

Egypt at the 2026 World Cup

Eliminated

Egypt are eliminated from the World Cup 2026 after Match 95 against Argentina. Argentina 3–2 Egypt; Argentina 2.84–0.89 Egypt xG.

Egypt had 5 goals from 3.79 xG (finishing luck +1.21) and 5 points from 3.63 xPts (points luck +1.37) in the World Cup 2026 group stage.

Next for Egypt

Knockout result

Egypt vs Argentina

Match 95 (Round of 16) result page with score, match xG and advancement context.

Latest xG match

2–3 vs Argentina

Knockout stage · xG 0.89-2.84 · eliminated

Group table

Group G finish

5 points from 3.63 group-stage xPts. Official group rank decides qualification.

Results

All scores with xG

Every finished match, scoreline, match xG and one-line verdict.

Quick answers

EliminatedAre Egypt eliminated from the World Cup 2026?: Egypt are eliminated from the World Cup 2026 after Match 95 against Argentina. Argentina 3–2 Egypt; Argentina 2.84–0.89 Egypt xG.
Group-stage verdictHow lucky or unlucky were Egypt in the World Cup 2026 group stage?: Group-stage totals: 5 points from 3.63 xPts (points luck +1.37) and 3 goals conceded from 4.56 xGA (defensive luck +1.56). The group-stage match-by-match xG table below shows how Egypt's group-stage luck built game by game.
Group finishWhere did Egypt finish in Group G?: Egypt finished second in Group G with 5 points from 3.63 group-stage xPts (Δ +1.37).
xG by stageWhat are Egypt's group, knockout and total xG numbers?: Egypt have 3.79 group-stage xGF and 4.56 group-stage xGA, plus 2.21 knockout xGF and 3.68 knockout xGA. Total: 6.00 xGF, 8.24 xGA.
Best xG matchWhat was Egypt's best xG match?: Egypt's highest-xGF match was 3–1 vs New Zealand: 1.87 xG for and 1.24 xG against.

xG by stage

Stage	Matches	Goals	xGF / xGA	xGD	xPts	Scope
Group stage	3	5–3	3.79 / 4.56	-0.77	3.63	Official group-table scope
Knockout	2	3–4	2.21 / 3.68	-1.47	2.12	Match xPts is chance context only
Total	5	8–7	6.00 / 8.24	-2.24	5.75	All completed xG-backed matches

Knockout status

EliminatedAre Egypt eliminated from the World Cup 2026?: Egypt are eliminated from the World Cup 2026 after Match 95 against Argentina. Argentina 3–2 Egypt; Argentina 2.84–0.89 Egypt xG. Egypt vs Argentina xG guide/result.

Knockout receipts

1-1 vs AustraliaKnockout stage · xG 1.32-0.84 · match xPts 1.72 · advanced on penalties 4-2
2-3 vs ArgentinaKnockout stage · xG 0.89-2.84 · match xPts 0.40 · eliminated

Group-stage match receipts

1-1 vs BelgiumxG 1.08-1.35 · xPts 1.17 · Δ -0.17
3-1 vs New ZealandxG 1.87-1.24 · xPts 1.79 · Δ +1.21
1-1 vs IranxG 0.84-1.97 · xPts 0.67 · Δ +0.33

Schedule context

Egypt are -0.77 xGD through 3 xG matches against opponents averaging 25.0/48 in the World Cup field and FIFA #38.7 globally; trailed xG against a mid-ranked opponent field.

Group	Group G · 2nd in group
Knockout status	Eliminated Out after Match 95 vs Argentina
Published FIFA rank	FIFA #24 · 22nd of 48 World Cup teams
xG vs schedule	Avg opponent field rank 25.0 / 48 · Avg opponent FIFA #38.7 · trailed xG against a mid-ranked opponent field
Group-stage played / record	3 · 1W 2D 0L
Group-stage points	5
Group-stage expected points (xPts)	3.63
Group-stage Δ (Points − xPts)	+1.37
Group-stage goals for / against	5 / 3
Group-stage xG for / against	3.79 / 4.56
Group-stage finishing (Goals − xG)	+1.21
Group-stage defensive luck (xGA − GA)	+1.56

Where Egypt sit on the total xG luck quadrant

Where Egypt sit across all xG-backed matches so far — finishing luck (goals − xG) across, defensive luck (xGA − goals conceded) up; the crosshair is zero, exactly as the chances suggest. On the balance of play they are riding their luck.

See Egypt on the full interactive luck quadrant →

Best and worst group-stage xG matches

Best xG performance

Egypt 3–1 New Zealand

Egypt had their strongest chance profile against New Zealand, winning the xG battle 1.87–1.24.

Most fortunate result

Egypt vs New Zealand

Egypt took 3 points from 1.79 xPts (Δ +1.21).

Group-stage match by match

Group-stage match-by-match luck — points taken minus expected points (xPts) each game. Green = took more than the chances deserved, red = deserved more.

Date	Match	Score	Group xG	xPts	Δ
15 June	@ Belgium	1–1	1.08–1.35	1.17	-0.17
21 June	@ New Zealand	3–1	1.87–1.24	1.79	+1.21
26 June	v Iran	1–1	0.84–1.97	0.67	+0.33

Δ here is per group-stage match: the points Egypt took that game minus their expected points (xPts) for it. Negative = robbed, positive = fortunate.

Knockout match by match

Date	Match	Score	Knockout xG	Match xPts	Verdict
3 July	@ Australia	1–1	1.32–0.84	1.72	Egypt advanced on penalties after a balanced knockout game 1–1 (2–4 pens) (0.84–1.32 xG).
7 July	@ Argentina	2–3	0.89–2.84	0.40	Argentina advanced with an xG edge (2.84–0.89 xG), winning 3–2.

Knockout rows are not added to group points or group-stage xPts. The score decides advancement; match xPts is chance-profile context.

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