Belgium 1–1 Egypt

The xG verdict

An even contest (1.35–1.08 xG) finished 1–1.

Quick answers

ResultWho won Belgium vs Egypt?
It finished 1–1, so there was no scoreboard winner. The xG was Belgium 1.35, Egypt 1.08.
Better xGWho had the better xG in Belgium vs Egypt?
The draw was a fair xG outcome: Belgium 1.35 xG, Egypt 1.08.
Fair resultWas Belgium 1–1 Egypt fair by xG?
Yes. The scoreline and xG both point to an even match.
Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
Belgium took only 1 point from 1.56 xPts (Δ -0.56), leaving the most on the table by xG.
Ranking contextWas Belgium 1–1 Egypt a published FIFA ranking upset?
Partly on the result, not by xG. Egypt entered 26th of 48 in the World Cup field; Belgium entered 9th of 48. The match was drawn, but xG favored the higher-ranked side 1.35–1.08.
Score1–1
Expected goals (xG)Belgium 1.35 · Egypt 1.08
Expected points (xPts)Belgium 1.56 · Egypt 1.17
StageGroup G
Published FIFA rankBelgium FIFA #9 (9th of 48) · Egypt FIFA #29 (26th of 48)

Who had the better xG in Belgium vs Egypt?

By expected goals, Belgium vs Egypt was a near-even contest — Belgium 1.35 xG, Egypt 1.08. The 1–1 draw is roughly what the balance of chances deserved. In expected points, Belgium earned 1.56 and Egypt 1.17 from this game; the actual return was 1 and 1 (Δ -0.56 for Belgium, -0.17 for Egypt).

Was Belgium lucky or unlucky?

Belgium were about on script in attack — 1 from 1.35 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (1 from 1.08 xGA). On balance their result return trailed the chances (Δ -0.56).

Was Egypt lucky or unlucky?

Egypt were about on script in attack — 1 from 1.08 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (1 from 1.35 xGA). A fair return for the performance (Δ -0.17).

What Belgium 1–1 Egypt means for Group G

Belgium sit 1st in Group G on 5 points (6.63 xPts, Δ -1.63); Egypt sit 2nd on 5 points (3.63 xPts, Δ +1.37). See the full Group G table →

15 June xG recap · Belgium · Egypt · xG robberies · stat leaders · ← All results