xG 2.10 – 0.20 · xPts 2.62 – 0.23 · Group H
Spain created far more (2.10–0.20 xG) but were held to a 0–0 draw.
World Cup 2026 xG recap: 15 June
Latest available post-match xG · updated 30 July 2026, 12:26 ET · 4 matches, 8 goals, 9.85 total xG. Not live.
4 matches on 15 June, read through expected goals — the day's robberies, smash-and-grabs and standout performances below.
xG stories of the day
Biggest xG robbery
Spain out-chanced Cape Verde 2.10–0.20 but took 1 point from a 0–0 — worth 2.62 xPts on the chances (Δ -1.62). xG breakdown →
Every 15 June match
xG 1.35 – 1.08 · xPts 1.56 – 1.17 · Group G
An even contest (1.35–1.08 xG) finished 1–1.
xG 0.66 – 1.72 · xPts 0.65 – 2.12 · Group H
Uruguay created far more (1.72–0.66 xG) but were held to a 1–1 draw.
xG 1.50 – 1.24 · xPts 1.55 – 1.20 · Group G
An even contest (1.50–1.24 xG) finished 2–2.
More: all daily recaps · all results · standings & expected points · unluckiest teams · the xG visualizer
Luck is measured per match: actual points minus expected points (xPts), an independent Poisson model on public post-match xG. Figures may differ from other public xG sources. Directional, not official — especially early in the tournament.