xG 1.05 – 1.05 · xPts 1.35 – 1.35 · Group C
Scotland edged a balanced game 0–1 (1.05–1.05 xG).
World Cup 2026 xG recap: 14 June
Latest available post-match xG · updated 17 June 2026, 07:22 UTC · 5 matches, 16 goals, 13.17 total xG. Not live.
Read through expected goals, 14 June had its winners and its victims. Turkiye were the most robbed — 0–2 (1.36–1.18 xG) for -1.49 points vs expected. Australia rode their luck the hardest (+1.76).
Biggest xG robbery
Turkiye vs Australia
0–2 (1.36–1.18 xG) → took nothing from 1.49 expected points. Δ -1.49. xG breakdown →
Most fortunate result
Australia vs Turkiye
2–0 (1.18–1.36 xG) → took the win from 1.24 expected points. Δ +1.76. xG breakdown →
Every 14 June match
xG 1.18 – 1.36 · xPts 1.24 – 1.49 · Group D
Australia edged a balanced game 2–0 (1.18–1.36 xG).
xG 4.22 – 0.41 · xPts 2.89 – 0.07 · Group E
Germany backed up their xG edge (4.22–0.41 xG), winning 7–1.
xG 0.78 – 0.59 · xPts 1.48 – 1.13 · Group F
An even contest (0.78–0.59 xG) finished 2–2.
xG 1.52 – 1.01 · xPts 1.73 – 1.01 · Group E
Ivory Coast edged a balanced game 1–0 (1.52–1.01 xG).
More: all daily recaps · all results · standings & expected points · unluckiest teams · the xG visualizer
Luck is measured per match: actual points minus expected points (xPts), an independent Poisson model on public post-match xG. Figures may differ from other public xG sources. Directional, not official — especially early in the tournament.