Sweden 5–1 Tunisia
Sweden backed up their xG edge (1.33–0.28 xG), winning 5–1.
Quick answers
- ResultWho won Sweden vs Tunisia?
- Sweden won 5–1. The xG was Sweden 1.33, Tunisia 0.28.
- Better xGWho had the better xG in Sweden vs Tunisia?
- Sweden had the better xG profile, creating the better chances 1.33–0.28 and winning 5–1.
- Fair resultWas Sweden 5–1 Tunisia fair by xG?
- Yes. Sweden won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
- Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
- Sweden turned a clear xG edge (1.33–0.28) into the full three points, finishing with 2.21 xPts (Δ +0.79).
| Score | 5–1 |
|---|---|
| Expected goals (xG) | Sweden 1.33 · Tunisia 0.28 |
| Expected points (xPts) | Sweden 2.21 · Tunisia 0.51 |
| Stage | Group F |
| Published FIFA rank | Sweden FIFA #38 (31st of 48) · Tunisia FIFA #45 (35th of 48) |
Who had the better xG in Sweden vs Tunisia?
Sweden created the better chances — 1.33–0.28 xG, an edge of 1.05. And Sweden duly won 5–1, the result matching the run of chances. In expected points, Sweden earned 2.21 and Tunisia 0.51 from this game; the actual return was 3 and 0 (Δ +0.79 for Sweden, -0.51 for Tunisia).
Was Sweden lucky or unlucky?
Sweden were clinical in front of goal — 5 goals from 1.33 xG, but punished at the back, shipping 1 from only 0.28 xGA faced. A result backed by the stronger chance profile on the day (Δ +0.79).
Was Tunisia lucky or unlucky?
Tunisia were clinical in front of goal — 1 goal from 0.28 xG, but punished at the back, shipping 5 from only 1.33 xGA faced. On balance their result return trailed the chances (Δ -0.51).
What Sweden 5–1 Tunisia means for Group F
Sweden sit 3rd in Group F on 4 points (3.63 xPts, Δ +0.37); Tunisia sit 4th on 0 points (1.22 xPts, Δ -1.22). See the full Group F table →
14 June xG recap · Sweden · Tunisia · xG robberies · stat leaders · ← All results