Germany 7–1 Curacao

The xG verdict

Germany backed up their xG edge (4.22–0.41 xG), winning 7–1.

Quick answers

ResultWho won Germany vs Curacao?
Germany won 7–1. The xG was Germany 4.22, Curacao 0.41.
Better xGWho had the better xG in Germany vs Curacao?
Germany had the better xG profile, creating the better chances 4.22–0.41 and winning 7–1.
Fair resultWas Germany 7–1 Curacao fair by xG?
Yes. Germany won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
Germany turned a clear xG edge (4.22–0.41) into the full three points, finishing with 2.89 xPts (Δ +0.11).
Ranking contextWas Germany 7–1 Curacao a published FIFA ranking upset?
No. Curacao entered 46th of 48 in the World Cup field; Germany entered 10th of 48. The higher-ranked side got the result and had the stronger xG profile, 4.22–0.41.
Score7–1
Expected goals (xG)Germany 4.22 · Curacao 0.41
Expected points (xPts)Germany 2.89 · Curacao 0.07
StageGroup E
Published FIFA rankGermany FIFA #10 (10th of 48) · Curacao FIFA #82 (46th of 48)

Who had the better xG in Germany vs Curacao?

Germany created the better chances — 4.22–0.41 xG, an edge of 3.81. And Germany duly won 7–1, the result matching the run of chances. In expected points, Germany earned 2.89 and Curacao 0.07 from this game; the actual return was 3 and 0 (Δ +0.11 for Germany, -0.07 for Curacao).

Was Germany lucky or unlucky?

Germany were clinical in front of goal — 7 goals from 4.22 xG, but punished at the back, shipping 1 from only 0.41 xGA faced. A fair return for the performance (Δ +0.11).

Was Curacao lucky or unlucky?

Curacao were clinical in front of goal — 1 goal from 0.41 xG, but punished at the back, shipping 7 from only 4.22 xGA faced. A fair return for the performance (Δ -0.07).

What Germany 7–1 Curacao means for Group E

Germany sit 1st in Group E on 6 points (5.57 xPts, Δ +0.43); Curacao sit 4th on 1 point (1.01 xPts, Δ -0.01). See the full Group E table →

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