0–2 vs Ivory Coast
Group E · xG 0.50-1.31

Curacao did not qualify for the World Cup 2026 knockout stage. Curacao finished fourth in Group E with 1 point from 1.01 group-stage xPts (Δ -0.01).
Curacao had 1 goal from 1.41 xG (finishing luck -0.41) and 1 point from 1.01 xPts (points luck -0.01) in the World Cup 2026 group stage.
Group E · xG 0.50-1.31
1 point from 1.01 group-stage xPts. Official group rank decides qualification.
Every finished match, scoreline, match xG and one-line verdict.
| Stage | Matches | Goals | xGF / xGA | xGD | xPts | Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Group stage | 3 | 1–9 | 1.41 / 8.37 | -6.96 | 1.01 | Official group-table scope |
| Total | 3 | 1–9 | 1.41 / 8.37 | -6.96 | 1.01 | All completed xG-backed matches |
Curacao are -6.96 xGD through 3 xG matches against opponents averaging 21.0/48 in the World Cup field and FIFA #22.7 globally; trailed xG against a mid-ranked opponent field.
| Group | Group E · 4th in group |
|---|---|
| Knockout status | Group exit Group-stage exit |
| Published FIFA rank | FIFA #82 · 46th of 48 World Cup teams |
| xG vs schedule | Avg opponent field rank 21.0 / 48 · Avg opponent FIFA #22.7 · trailed xG against a mid-ranked opponent field |
| Group-stage played / record | 3 · 0W 1D 2L |
| Group-stage points | 1 |
| Group-stage expected points (xPts) | 1.01 |
| Group-stage Δ (Points − xPts) | -0.01 |
| Group-stage goals for / against | 1 / 9 |
| Group-stage xG for / against | 1.41 / 8.37 |
| Group-stage finishing (Goals − xG) | -0.41 |
| Group-stage defensive luck (xGA − GA) | -0.63 |
See Curacao on the full interactive luck quadrant →
Curacao had their strongest chance profile against Ivory Coast, winning the xG battle 0.50–1.31.
Curacao took 0 points from 0.71 xPts (Δ -0.71).
Curacao took 1 point from 0.23 xPts (Δ +0.77).
| Date | Match | Score | Group xG | xPts | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 June | @ Germany | 1–7 | 0.41–4.22 | 0.07 | -0.07 |
| 20 June | @ Ecuador | 0–0 | 0.50–2.84 | 0.23 | +0.77 |
| 25 June | v Ivory Coast | 0–2 | 0.50–1.31 | 0.71 | -0.71 |
Δ here is per group-stage match: the points Curacao took that game minus their expected points (xPts) for it. Negative = robbed, positive = fortunate.
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