xG 2.61 – 1.01 · xPts 2.31 – 0.53 · Group F
Netherlands backed up their xG edge (2.61–1.01 xG), winning 5–1.
World Cup 2026 xG recap: 20 June
Latest available post-match xG · updated 2 July 2026, 02:56 ET · 4 matches, 13 goals, 12.25 total xG. Not live.
4 matches on 20 June, read through expected goals — the day's robberies, smash-and-grabs and standout performances below.
xG stories of the day
Biggest xG robbery
Ecuador out-chanced Curacao 2.84–0.50 but took 1 point from a 0–0 — worth 2.66 xPts on the chances (Δ -1.66). xG breakdown →
Every 20 June match
xG 1.89 – 1.22 · xPts 1.82 – 0.96 · Group E
Germany edged a balanced game 2–1 (1.89–1.22 xG).
xG 2.84 – 0.50 · xPts 2.66 – 0.23 · Group E
Ecuador created far more (2.84–0.50 xG) but were held to a 0–0 draw.
xG 0.05 – 2.13 · xPts 0.14 – 2.73 · Group F
Japan backed up their xG edge (2.13–0.05 xG), winning 0–4.
More: all daily recaps · all results · standings & expected points · unluckiest teams · the xG visualizer
Luck is measured per match: actual points minus expected points (xPts), an independent Poisson model on public post-match xG. Figures may differ from other public xG sources. Directional, not official — especially early in the tournament.