How lucky or unlucky were Ivory Coast in the World Cup 2026 group stage?

Group-stage totals: 6 points from 4.69 xPts (points luck +1.31) and 2 goals conceded from 3.40 xGA (defensive luck +1.40). The group-stage match-by-match xG table below shows how Ivory Coast's group-stage luck built game by game.

Where did Ivory Coast finish in Group E?

Ivory Coast finished second in Group E with 6 points from 4.69 group-stage xPts (Δ +1.31).

What are Ivory Coast's group, knockout and total xG numbers?

Ivory Coast have 4.05 group-stage xGF and 3.40 group-stage xGA, plus 1.49 knockout xGF and 1.90 knockout xGA. Total: 5.54 xGF, 5.30 xGA.

What was Ivory Coast's best xG match?

Ivory Coast's highest-xGF match was 1–0 vs Ecuador: 1.52 xG for and 1.01 xG against.

Ivory Coast at the 2026 World Cup

Eliminated

Ivory Coast are eliminated from the World Cup 2026 after Match 78 against Norway. Ivory Coast 1–2 Norway; Ivory Coast 1.49–1.90 Norway xG.

Ivory Coast had 4 goals from 4.05 xG (finishing luck -0.05) and 6 points from 4.69 xPts (points luck +1.31) in the World Cup 2026 group stage.

Next for Ivory Coast

Knockout result

Ivory Coast vs Norway

Match 78 (Round of 32) result page with score, match xG and advancement context.

Latest xG match

1–2 vs Norway

Knockout stage · xG 1.49-1.90 · eliminated

Group table

Group E finish

6 points from 4.69 group-stage xPts. Official group rank decides qualification.

Results

All scores with xG

Every finished match, scoreline, match xG and one-line verdict.

Quick answers

EliminatedAre Ivory Coast eliminated from the World Cup 2026?: Ivory Coast are eliminated from the World Cup 2026 after Match 78 against Norway. Ivory Coast 1–2 Norway; Ivory Coast 1.49–1.90 Norway xG.
Group-stage verdictHow lucky or unlucky were Ivory Coast in the World Cup 2026 group stage?: Group-stage totals: 6 points from 4.69 xPts (points luck +1.31) and 2 goals conceded from 3.40 xGA (defensive luck +1.40). The group-stage match-by-match xG table below shows how Ivory Coast's group-stage luck built game by game.
Group finishWhere did Ivory Coast finish in Group E?: Ivory Coast finished second in Group E with 6 points from 4.69 group-stage xPts (Δ +1.31).
xG by stageWhat are Ivory Coast's group, knockout and total xG numbers?: Ivory Coast have 4.05 group-stage xGF and 3.40 group-stage xGA, plus 1.49 knockout xGF and 1.90 knockout xGA. Total: 5.54 xGF, 5.30 xGA.
Best xG matchWhat was Ivory Coast's best xG match?: Ivory Coast's highest-xGF match was 1–0 vs Ecuador: 1.52 xG for and 1.01 xG against.

xG by stage

Stage	Matches	Goals	xGF / xGA	xGD	xPts	Scope
Group stage	3	4–2	4.05 / 3.40	+0.65	4.69	Official group-table scope
Knockout	1	1–2	1.49 / 1.90	-0.41	1.13	Match xPts is chance context only
Total	4	5–4	5.54 / 5.30	+0.24	5.82	All completed xG-backed matches

Knockout status

EliminatedAre Ivory Coast eliminated from the World Cup 2026?: Ivory Coast are eliminated from the World Cup 2026 after Match 78 against Norway. Ivory Coast 1–2 Norway; Ivory Coast 1.49–1.90 Norway xG. Ivory Coast vs Norway xG guide/result.

Knockout receipts

1-2 vs NorwayKnockout stage · xG 1.49-1.90 · match xPts 1.13 · eliminated

Group-stage match receipts

1-0 vs EcuadorxG 1.52-1.01 · xPts 1.73 · Δ +1.27
1-2 vs GermanyxG 1.22-1.89 · xPts 0.96 · Δ -0.96
2-0 vs CuracaoxG 1.31-0.50 · xPts 2.00 · Δ +1.00

Schedule context

Ivory Coast are +0.65 xGD through 3 xG matches against opponents averaging 27.0/48 in the World Cup field and FIFA #39.7 globally; led xG against a mid-ranked opponent field.

Group	Group E · 2nd in group
Knockout status	Eliminated Out after Match 78 vs Norway
Published FIFA rank	FIFA #31 · 28th of 48 World Cup teams
xG vs schedule	Avg opponent field rank 27.0 / 48 · Avg opponent FIFA #39.7 · led xG against a mid-ranked opponent field
Group-stage played / record	3 · 2W 0D 1L
Group-stage points	6
Group-stage expected points (xPts)	4.69
Group-stage Δ (Points − xPts)	+1.31
Group-stage goals for / against	4 / 2
Group-stage xG for / against	4.05 / 3.40
Group-stage finishing (Goals − xG)	-0.05
Group-stage defensive luck (xGA − GA)	+1.40

Where Ivory Coast sit on the total xG luck quadrant

Where Ivory Coast sit across all xG-backed matches so far — finishing luck (goals − xG) across, defensive luck (xGA − goals conceded) up; the crosshair is zero, exactly as the chances suggest. On the balance of play they are wasteful in attack but solid at the back.

See Ivory Coast on the full interactive luck quadrant →

Best and worst group-stage xG matches

Best xG performance

Ivory Coast 2–0 Curacao

Ivory Coast had their strongest chance profile against Curacao, winning the xG battle 1.31–0.50.

Most unlucky result

Ivory Coast vs Germany

Ivory Coast took 0 points from 0.96 xPts (Δ -0.96).

Most fortunate result

Ivory Coast vs Ecuador

Ivory Coast took 3 points from 1.73 xPts (Δ +1.27).

Group-stage match by match

Group-stage match-by-match luck — points taken minus expected points (xPts) each game. Green = took more than the chances deserved, red = deserved more.

Date	Match	Score	Group xG	xPts	Δ
14 June	v Ecuador	1–0	1.52–1.01	1.73	+1.27
20 June	@ Germany	1–2	1.22–1.89	0.96	-0.96
25 June	@ Curacao	2–0	1.31–0.50	2.00	+1.00

Δ here is per group-stage match: the points Ivory Coast took that game minus their expected points (xPts) for it. Negative = robbed, positive = fortunate.

Knockout match by match

Date	Match	Score	Knockout xG	Match xPts	Verdict
30 June	v Norway	1–2	1.49–1.90	1.13	Norway advanced from a balanced knockout game 1–2 (1.49–1.90 xG).

Knockout rows are not added to group points or group-stage xPts. The score decides advancement; match xPts is chance-profile context.

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