Ivory Coast 1–0 Ecuador

The xG verdict

Ivory Coast edged a balanced game 1–0 (1.52–1.01 xG).

Quick answers

ResultWho won Ivory Coast vs Ecuador?
Ivory Coast won 1–0. The xG was Ivory Coast 1.52, Ecuador 1.01.
Better xGWho had the better xG in Ivory Coast vs Ecuador?
Ivory Coast had the better xG profile, creating the better chances 1.52–1.01 and winning 1–0.
Fair resultWas Ivory Coast 1–0 Ecuador fair by xG?
Yes. Ivory Coast won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
Ivory Coast turned a clear xG edge (1.52–1.01) into the full three points, finishing with 1.73 xPts (Δ +1.27).
Ranking contextWas Ivory Coast 1–0 Ecuador a published FIFA ranking upset?
Yes — and it was backed by xG. Ivory Coast entered 29th of 48 in the World Cup field; Ecuador entered 21st of 48. Ivory Coast won with the scoreline Ivory Coast 1–0 Ecuador and led the chance quality 1.52–1.01 xG.
Score1–0
Expected goals (xG)Ivory Coast 1.52 · Ecuador 1.01
Expected points (xPts)Ivory Coast 1.73 · Ecuador 1.01
StageGroup E
Published FIFA rankIvory Coast FIFA #33 (29th of 48) · Ecuador FIFA #23 (21st of 48)

Who had the better xG in Ivory Coast vs Ecuador?

Ivory Coast created the better chances — 1.52–1.01 xG, an edge of 0.51. And Ivory Coast duly won 1–0, the result matching the run of chances. In expected points, Ivory Coast earned 1.73 and Ecuador 1.01 from this game; the actual return was 3 and 0 (Δ +1.27 for Ivory Coast, -1.01 for Ecuador).

Was Ivory Coast lucky or unlucky?

Ivory Coast were wasteful in front of goal — just 1 from 1.52 xG, and well protected at the back, conceding 0 from 1.01 xGA faced. A result backed by the stronger chance profile on the day (Δ +1.27).

Was Ecuador lucky or unlucky?

Ecuador were wasteful in front of goal — just 0 from 1.01 xG, and well protected at the back, conceding 1 from 1.52 xGA faced. On balance their result return trailed the chances (Δ -1.01).

What Ivory Coast 1–0 Ecuador means for Group E

Ivory Coast sit 2nd in Group E on 6 points (4.69 xPts, Δ +1.31); Ecuador sit 3rd on 4 points (5.51 xPts, Δ -1.51). See the full Group E table →

14 June xG recap · Ivory Coast · Ecuador · xG robberies · stat leaders · ← All results