Germany 2–1 Ivory Coast

The xG verdict

Germany edged a balanced game 2–1 (1.89–1.22 xG).

Quick answers

ResultWho won Germany vs Ivory Coast?
Germany won 2–1. The xG was Germany 1.89, Ivory Coast 1.22.
Better xGWho had the better xG in Germany vs Ivory Coast?
Germany had the better xG profile, creating the better chances 1.89–1.22 and winning 2–1.
Fair resultWas Germany 2–1 Ivory Coast fair by xG?
Yes. Germany won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
Germany turned a clear xG edge (1.89–1.22) into the full three points, finishing with 1.82 xPts (Δ +1.18).
Ranking contextWas Germany 2–1 Ivory Coast a published FIFA ranking upset?
No. Ivory Coast entered 29th of 48 in the World Cup field; Germany entered 10th of 48. The higher-ranked side got the result and had the stronger xG profile, 1.89–1.22.
Score2–1
Expected goals (xG)Germany 1.89 · Ivory Coast 1.22
Expected points (xPts)Germany 1.82 · Ivory Coast 0.96
StageGroup E
Published FIFA rankGermany FIFA #10 (10th of 48) · Ivory Coast FIFA #33 (29th of 48)

Who had the better xG in Germany vs Ivory Coast?

Germany created the better chances — 1.89–1.22 xG, an edge of 0.67. And Germany duly won 2–1, the result matching the run of chances. In expected points, Germany earned 1.82 and Ivory Coast 0.96 from this game; the actual return was 3 and 0 (Δ +1.18 for Germany, -0.96 for Ivory Coast).

Was Germany lucky or unlucky?

Germany were about on script in attack — 2 from 1.89 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (1 from 1.22 xGA). A result backed by the stronger chance profile on the day (Δ +1.18).

Was Ivory Coast lucky or unlucky?

Ivory Coast were about on script in attack — 1 from 1.22 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (2 from 1.89 xGA). On balance their result return trailed the chances (Δ -0.96).

What Germany 2–1 Ivory Coast means for Group E

Germany sit 1st in Group E on 6 points (5.57 xPts, Δ +0.43); Ivory Coast sit 2nd on 6 points (4.69 xPts, Δ +1.31). See the full Group E table →

20 June xG recap · Germany · Ivory Coast · xG robberies · stat leaders · ← All results